Trader consensus in the Wuhan lowest-temperature market centers on 27°C and 28°C outcomes, each carrying 36% implied probability, because numerical weather models from regional and global ensembles project an overnight minimum in that narrow band for August 24. Persistent high humidity, with dew points near 25–27°C, limits radiational cooling under light northeast winds and partial cloud cover typical of late-summer subtropical conditions in the Yangtze basin. Small differences in forecast timing of any scattered showers or wind shifts could separate the two values, while the broader model spread keeps lower probabilities on 26°C or 29°C. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies and ECMWF runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 24. August?
32°C oder höher 57%
23°C 50%
28°C 40%
27°C 32%
22°C oder weniger
20%
23°C
50%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
32%
28°C
40%
29°C
27%
30°C
20%
31°C
29%
32°C oder höher
57%
32°C oder höher 57%
23°C 50%
28°C 40%
27°C 32%
22°C oder weniger
20%
23°C
50%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
32%
28°C
40%
29°C
27%
30°C
20%
31°C
29%
32°C oder höher
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Wuhan lowest-temperature market centers on 27°C and 28°C outcomes, each carrying 36% implied probability, because numerical weather models from regional and global ensembles project an overnight minimum in that narrow band for August 24. Persistent high humidity, with dew points near 25–27°C, limits radiational cooling under light northeast winds and partial cloud cover typical of late-summer subtropical conditions in the Yangtze basin. Small differences in forecast timing of any scattered showers or wind shifts could separate the two values, while the broader model spread keeps lower probabilities on 26°C or 29°C. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies and ECMWF runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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