Persistent marine layer advection of cool, moist Pacific air, reinforced by onshore westerly winds of 10–20 mph and extensive low cloud cover, remains the dominant driver keeping San Francisco’s August 24 high temperature tightly clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s. Latest model guidance and National Weather Service outlooks project limited afternoon clearing, with any earlier sunshine or brief offshore flow the main variables that could nudge readings toward 72–73 °F versus a deeper layer holding the peak near 68–69 °F. Historical late-August climatology at downtown and SFO stations centers near 69 °F, aligning with current trader-implied odds that place roughly 58 % probability on the two leading 2-degree bins while assigning low weight to extremes outside 66–73 °F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 24. August?
Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 24. August?
70-71°F 32%
20-21 °C 27%
72-73°F 16%
66-67°F 15%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
63°F oder darunter
2%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
15%
20-21 °C
27%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
2%
82°F oder höher
<1%
70-71°F 32%
20-21 °C 27%
72-73°F 16%
66-67°F 15%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
63°F oder darunter
$37 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$120 Vol.
7%
66-67°F
$19 Vol.
15%
20-21 °C
$72 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$63 Vol.
32%
72-73°F
$12 Vol.
16%
74-75°F
$249 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$208 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$65 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
2%
82°F oder höher
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer advection of cool, moist Pacific air, reinforced by onshore westerly winds of 10–20 mph and extensive low cloud cover, remains the dominant driver keeping San Francisco’s August 24 high temperature tightly clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s. Latest model guidance and National Weather Service outlooks project limited afternoon clearing, with any earlier sunshine or brief offshore flow the main variables that could nudge readings toward 72–73 °F versus a deeper layer holding the peak near 68–69 °F. Historical late-August climatology at downtown and SFO stations centers near 69 °F, aligning with current trader-implied odds that place roughly 58 % probability on the two leading 2-degree bins while assigning low weight to extremes outside 66–73 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volumen
$895Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer advection of cool, moist Pacific air, reinforced by onshore westerly winds of 10–20 mph and extensive low cloud cover, remains the dominant driver keeping San Francisco’s August 24 high temperature tightly clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s. Latest model guidance and National Weather Service outlooks project limited afternoon clearing, with any earlier sunshine or brief offshore flow the main variables that could nudge readings toward 72–73 °F versus a deeper layer holding the peak near 68–69 °F. Historical late-August climatology at downtown and SFO stations centers near 69 °F, aligning with current trader-implied odds that place roughly 58 % probability on the two leading 2-degree bins while assigning low weight to extremes outside 66–73 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$895Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer advection of cool, moist Pacific air, reinforced by onshore westerly winds of 10–20 mph and extensive low cloud cover, remains the dominant driver keeping San Francisco’s August 24 high temperature tightly clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s. Latest model guidance and National Weather Service outlooks project limited afternoon clearing, with any earlier sunshine or brief offshore flow the main variables that could nudge readings toward 72–73 °F versus a deeper layer holding the peak near 68–69 °F. Historical late-August climatology at downtown and SFO stations centers near 69 °F, aligning with current trader-implied odds that place roughly 58 % probability on the two leading 2-degree bins while assigning low weight to extremes outside 66–73 °F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen