Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Israel Meteorological Service data, indicate Tel Aviv overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late-August eastern Mediterranean conditions. This setup limits radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above historical August averages of around 24°C while daytime highs reach 31–32°C. Early observations on August 23 show temperatures holding at 26–27°C through predawn hours, with no significant shifts from incoming sea breezes or cloud cover expected to alter the trajectory. Trader consensus, reflected in the 75.5% implied probability for a 26°C low, aligns with this model agreement, though minor forecast revisions could still influence final official readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 23. August?
26°C 85%
25°C 22%
24°C 19%
23°C 13%
$1,809 Vol.
$1,809 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
13%
24°C
19%
25°C
22%
26°C
78%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 85%
25°C 22%
24°C 19%
23°C 13%
$1,809 Vol.
$1,809 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
13%
24°C
19%
25°C
22%
26°C
78%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Israel Meteorological Service data, indicate Tel Aviv overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late-August eastern Mediterranean conditions. This setup limits radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above historical August averages of around 24°C while daytime highs reach 31–32°C. Early observations on August 23 show temperatures holding at 26–27°C through predawn hours, with no significant shifts from incoming sea breezes or cloud cover expected to alter the trajectory. Trader consensus, reflected in the 75.5% implied probability for a 26°C low, aligns with this model agreement, though minor forecast revisions could still influence final official readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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