Forecast consensus from official meteorological models and agencies points to a Shanghai minimum of 27°C on August 23, reflecting persistent southeasterly flow, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling typical of late-summer subtropical conditions. Recent daily lows in the city have resolved at 27°C, aligning with climatological baselines near 26–28°C and current extended forecasts showing overnight readings around 27°C amid thundershowers and overcast skies. Trader positioning at 98% implied probability on the 27°C outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of these stable atmospheric patterns, though minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could still produce a 26°C or 28°C reading before the official minimum is recorded at the primary weather station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 23. August?
27°C 98%
26°C 2%
25°C <1%
28°C <1%
$19,084 Vol.
$19,084 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98%
26°C 2%
25°C <1%
28°C <1%
$19,084 Vol.
$19,084 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from official meteorological models and agencies points to a Shanghai minimum of 27°C on August 23, reflecting persistent southeasterly flow, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling typical of late-summer subtropical conditions. Recent daily lows in the city have resolved at 27°C, aligning with climatological baselines near 26–28°C and current extended forecasts showing overnight readings around 27°C amid thundershowers and overcast skies. Trader positioning at 98% implied probability on the 27°C outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of these stable atmospheric patterns, though minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could still produce a 26°C or 28°C reading before the official minimum is recorded at the primary weather station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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