**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum of 58-59°F for Seattle on August 22, 2026, reflecting official observations from primary reporting stations such as Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.** This outcome aligns with National Weather Service summaries and nearby station data showing overnight lows in the upper 50s amid mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions that limited radiational cooling. Marine air influence and light winds typical of late summer in the Puget Sound region prevented temperatures from dropping toward the long-term average low of ~56°F. With the event concluded and data available, market-implied odds near 99% indicate high confidence in the recorded minimum, consistent with verified readings rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges to this positioning remain limited but include potential late revisions to preliminary climate reports or resolution criteria specifying a non-standard station. No major model discrepancies or extreme events occurred to shift the observed value outside this narrow band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seattle am 22. August?
58-59°F 100.0%
56-57°F 1.0%
51°F oder darunter <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,292 Vol.
$2,292 Vol.
51°F oder darunter
Nein
52-53°F
Nein
54-55°F
Nein
56-57°F
Nein
58-59°F
Ja
60-61°F
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66-67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70°F oder höher
Nein
58-59°F 100.0%
56-57°F 1.0%
51°F oder darunter <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,292 Vol.
$2,292 Vol.
51°F oder darunter
Nein
52-53°F
Nein
54-55°F
Nein
56-57°F
Nein
58-59°F
Ja
60-61°F
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66-67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70°F oder höher
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum of 58-59°F for Seattle on August 22, 2026, reflecting official observations from primary reporting stations such as Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.** This outcome aligns with National Weather Service summaries and nearby station data showing overnight lows in the upper 50s amid mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions that limited radiational cooling. Marine air influence and light winds typical of late summer in the Puget Sound region prevented temperatures from dropping toward the long-term average low of ~56°F. With the event concluded and data available, market-implied odds near 99% indicate high confidence in the recorded minimum, consistent with verified readings rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges to this positioning remain limited but include potential late revisions to preliminary climate reports or resolution criteria specifying a non-standard station. No major model discrepancies or extreme events occurred to shift the observed value outside this narrow band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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