Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a warm overnight period across the New York metro area, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 70–71°F at Central Park and LaGuardia stations due to elevated dew points, light winds, and lingering high pressure suppressing radiational cooling. Recent observations reinforce this pattern, as minimums reached 72°F on August 1 and 75°F on August 2 amid above-normal humidity and southerly flow. These conditions align with typical early-August climatology, where average lows hover near 70°F but can remain elevated during stable air masses. Updated model runs and official 24-hour minimum readings will determine final resolution, with traders assigning over 75% implied probability to the 68–71°F range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 4. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 4. August?
70-71°F 71%
68-69°F 19%
66-67°F 9%
64-65°F <1%
NEU
NEU
4. Aug. 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
70%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 71%
68-69°F 19%
66-67°F 9%
64-65°F <1%
NEU
NEU
4. Aug. 2026
59°F or below
$415 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$111 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$378 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$524 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$844 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$1,816 Vol.
19%
70-71°F
$462 Vol.
70%
72-73°F
$1,712 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,965 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$775 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$424 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a warm overnight period across the New York metro area, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 70–71°F at Central Park and LaGuardia stations due to elevated dew points, light winds, and lingering high pressure suppressing radiational cooling. Recent observations reinforce this pattern, as minimums reached 72°F on August 1 and 75°F on August 2 amid above-normal humidity and southerly flow. These conditions align with typical early-August climatology, where average lows hover near 70°F but can remain elevated during stable air masses. Updated model runs and official 24-hour minimum readings will determine final resolution, with traders assigning over 75% implied probability to the 68–71°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Volumen
$9,425Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a warm overnight period across the New York metro area, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 70–71°F at Central Park and LaGuardia stations due to elevated dew points, light winds, and lingering high pressure suppressing radiational cooling. Recent observations reinforce this pattern, as minimums reached 72°F on August 1 and 75°F on August 2 amid above-normal humidity and southerly flow. These conditions align with typical early-August climatology, where average lows hover near 70°F but can remain elevated during stable air masses. Updated model runs and official 24-hour minimum readings will determine final resolution, with traders assigning over 75% implied probability to the 68–71°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,425Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a warm overnight period across the New York metro area, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 70–71°F at Central Park and LaGuardia stations due to elevated dew points, light winds, and lingering high pressure suppressing radiational cooling. Recent observations reinforce this pattern, as minimums reached 72°F on August 1 and 75°F on August 2 amid above-normal humidity and southerly flow. These conditions align with typical early-August climatology, where average lows hover near 70°F but can remain elevated during stable air masses. Updated model runs and official 24-hour minimum readings will determine final resolution, with traders assigning over 75% implied probability to the 68–71°F range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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