Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime highs of 31°C for Istanbul on August 4 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the eastern Mediterranean in early August, with light northerly winds and mostly sunny skies limiting cloud cover and supporting moderate daytime heating. Trader consensus favors 28–29°C as the leading outcomes because historical August maxima average 28–29°C, sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara often cap peaks near this range, and model runs show limited potential for stronger warming. The narrow spread around these values reflects low forecast uncertainty two days out, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the primary Istanbul station; any shift in guidance from updated ECMWF or Turkish Meteorological Service runs could adjust implied probabilities before the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 4. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 4. August?
28°C 47%
29°C 36%
30°C 14%
27°C 5%
NEU
NEU
4. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
47%
29°C
36%
30°C
14%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
28°C 47%
29°C 36%
30°C 14%
27°C 5%
NEU
NEU
4. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$43 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$59 Vol.
1%
26°C
$41 Vol.
4%
27°C
$47 Vol.
5%
28°C
$121 Vol.
47%
29°C
$25 Vol.
36%
30°C
$153 Vol.
14%
31°C
$18 Vol.
2%
32°C
$20 Vol.
2%
33°C
$30 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime highs of 31°C for Istanbul on August 4 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the eastern Mediterranean in early August, with light northerly winds and mostly sunny skies limiting cloud cover and supporting moderate daytime heating. Trader consensus favors 28–29°C as the leading outcomes because historical August maxima average 28–29°C, sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara often cap peaks near this range, and model runs show limited potential for stronger warming. The narrow spread around these values reflects low forecast uncertainty two days out, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the primary Istanbul station; any shift in guidance from updated ECMWF or Turkish Meteorological Service runs could adjust implied probabilities before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$567Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime highs of 31°C for Istanbul on August 4 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the eastern Mediterranean in early August, with light northerly winds and mostly sunny skies limiting cloud cover and supporting moderate daytime heating. Trader consensus favors 28–29°C as the leading outcomes because historical August maxima average 28–29°C, sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara often cap peaks near this range, and model runs show limited potential for stronger warming. The narrow spread around these values reflects low forecast uncertainty two days out, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the primary Istanbul station; any shift in guidance from updated ECMWF or Turkish Meteorological Service runs could adjust implied probabilities before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$567Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime highs of 31°C for Istanbul on August 4 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the eastern Mediterranean in early August, with light northerly winds and mostly sunny skies limiting cloud cover and supporting moderate daytime heating. Trader consensus favors 28–29°C as the leading outcomes because historical August maxima average 28–29°C, sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara often cap peaks near this range, and model runs show limited potential for stronger warming. The narrow spread around these values reflects low forecast uncertainty two days out, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the primary Istanbul station; any shift in guidance from updated ECMWF or Turkish Meteorological Service runs could adjust implied probabilities before the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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