Current short-range ensemble forecasts for Moscow on August 4 show the daily maximum centered near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27 °C. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2 °C. With August climatological highs averaging 22–24 °C, the current setup reflects a transient ridge of high pressure that has sustained above-normal readings since late July. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and global models expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 4. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 4. August?
26°C 32%
25°C 28%
27°C 19%
24°C 18%
NEU
NEU
4. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
18%
25°C
28%
26°C
32%
27°C
19%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
2%
26°C 32%
25°C 28%
27°C 19%
24°C 18%
NEU
NEU
4. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
$44 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$74 Vol.
4%
23°C
$34 Vol.
8%
24°C
$6 Vol.
18%
25°C
$4 Vol.
28%
26°C
$13 Vol.
32%
27°C
$1 Vol.
19%
28°C
$19 Vol.
4%
29°C
$31 Vol.
3%
30°C or higher
$32 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts for Moscow on August 4 show the daily maximum centered near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27 °C. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2 °C. With August climatological highs averaging 22–24 °C, the current setup reflects a transient ridge of high pressure that has sustained above-normal readings since late July. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and global models expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$296Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts for Moscow on August 4 show the daily maximum centered near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27 °C. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2 °C. With August climatological highs averaging 22–24 °C, the current setup reflects a transient ridge of high pressure that has sustained above-normal readings since late July. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and global models expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$296Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts for Moscow on August 4 show the daily maximum centered near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27 °C. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2 °C. With August climatological highs averaging 22–24 °C, the current setup reflects a transient ridge of high pressure that has sustained above-normal readings since late July. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and global models expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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