Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 2 are most likely to settle between 24–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan basin. High humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon regime limit daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and potential brief clear spells introduce variability across ensemble runs. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor below-normal maxima. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against resolution criteria tied to official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau observations, with fresh model updates expected overnight to refine the narrow probability spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 2. August?
25°C 26%
24°C 25%
26°C 23%
27°C 14%
$18,344 Vol.
$18,344 Vol.
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
23%
27°C
14%
28°C
11%
29°C oder höher
7%
25°C 26%
24°C 25%
26°C 23%
27°C 14%
$18,344 Vol.
$18,344 Vol.
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
23%
27°C
14%
28°C
11%
29°C oder höher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 2 are most likely to settle between 24–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan basin. High humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon regime limit daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and potential brief clear spells introduce variability across ensemble runs. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor below-normal maxima. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against resolution criteria tied to official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau observations, with fresh model updates expected overnight to refine the narrow probability spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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