Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C for Guangzhou's August 2 peak because official forecasts indicate a typical humid subtropical summer day with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms moderating afternoon heating. High atmospheric moisture and reduced insolation from overcast skies limit surface warming below seasonal averages near 32–33°C, while variable steering patterns and timing of precipitation create narrow uncertainty between 29°C and 31°C outcomes. Recent model runs emphasize these dynamics, with light winds and high dew points further constraining temperature spikes. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies on cloud trends and convective activity will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 2. August?
30°C 35%
31°C 26%
29°C 22%
32°C 11%
25°C oder niedriger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
22%
30°C
35%
31°C
26%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 26%
29°C 22%
32°C 11%
25°C oder niedriger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
22%
30°C
35%
31°C
26%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C for Guangzhou's August 2 peak because official forecasts indicate a typical humid subtropical summer day with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms moderating afternoon heating. High atmospheric moisture and reduced insolation from overcast skies limit surface warming below seasonal averages near 32–33°C, while variable steering patterns and timing of precipitation create narrow uncertainty between 29°C and 31°C outcomes. Recent model runs emphasize these dynamics, with light winds and high dew points further constraining temperature spikes. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies on cloud trends and convective activity will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen