Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF have converged on a nighttime minimum of 8°C in Munich under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong radiative cooling typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions, supporting the market's 97.5% implied probability for that exact low. This aligns with observed dew points near 9–10°C and surface pressure around 1022 hPa, which favor efficient heat loss after the day's 22–23°C peak. The slim odds for 7°C or lower reflect the low likelihood of further cooling absent a sudden cold-air intrusion. A realistic challenge would require either increased cloud cover trapping longwave radiation or an unexpected shift in steering winds introducing warmer maritime air before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 23. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 23. August?
8°C 98%
6°C 3%
7°C 2%
5°C or below <1%
$2,850 Vol.
$2,850 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
2%
8°C
98%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
8°C 98%
6°C 3%
7°C 2%
5°C or below <1%
$2,850 Vol.
$2,850 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
5°C or below
$280 Vol.
1%
6°C
$307 Vol.
3%
7°C
$24 Vol.
2%
8°C
$242 Vol.
98%
9°C
$550 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$520 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$187 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$174 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$179 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF have converged on a nighttime minimum of 8°C in Munich under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong radiative cooling typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions, supporting the market's 97.5% implied probability for that exact low. This aligns with observed dew points near 9–10°C and surface pressure around 1022 hPa, which favor efficient heat loss after the day's 22–23°C peak. The slim odds for 7°C or lower reflect the low likelihood of further cooling absent a sudden cold-air intrusion. A realistic challenge would require either increased cloud cover trapping longwave radiation or an unexpected shift in steering winds introducing warmer maritime air before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$2,850Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF have converged on a nighttime minimum of 8°C in Munich under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong radiative cooling typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions, supporting the market's 97.5% implied probability for that exact low. This aligns with observed dew points near 9–10°C and surface pressure around 1022 hPa, which favor efficient heat loss after the day's 22–23°C peak. The slim odds for 7°C or lower reflect the low likelihood of further cooling absent a sudden cold-air intrusion. A realistic challenge would require either increased cloud cover trapping longwave radiation or an unexpected shift in steering winds introducing warmer maritime air before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,850Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF have converged on a nighttime minimum of 8°C in Munich under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong radiative cooling typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions, supporting the market's 97.5% implied probability for that exact low. This aligns with observed dew points near 9–10°C and surface pressure around 1022 hPa, which favor efficient heat loss after the day's 22–23°C peak. The slim odds for 7°C or lower reflect the low likelihood of further cooling absent a sudden cold-air intrusion. A realistic challenge would require either increased cloud cover trapping longwave radiation or an unexpected shift in steering winds introducing warmer maritime air before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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