Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a minimum temperature near 13–15°C for Mexico City on August 23, shaped by widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northerly winds that limit daytime heating and enhance nocturnal radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Persistent moisture from the ongoing rainy season suppresses temperature swings, keeping overnight lows close to the climatological average while raising the chance of brief dips below 13°C in higher or less urbanized pockets. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 9–15°C thresholds because model runs show only modest differences in cloud timing and precipitation intensity that could shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C, with updated guidance expected from the next SMN regional briefing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 23. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 23. August?
14°C 49%
13°C 47%
15°C 47%
11°C 33%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
9°C oder niedriger
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
33%
12°C
33%
13°C
47%
14°C
49%
15°C
47%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C oder höher
1%
14°C 49%
13°C 47%
15°C 47%
11°C 33%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
9°C oder niedriger
$43 Vol.
1%
10°C
$20 Vol.
1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
33%
12°C
$0 Vol.
33%
13°C
$0 Vol.
47%
14°C
$428 Vol.
49%
15°C
$225 Vol.
47%
16°C
$46 Vol.
1%
17°C
$137 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$49 Vol.
1%
19°C oder höher
$45 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a minimum temperature near 13–15°C for Mexico City on August 23, shaped by widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northerly winds that limit daytime heating and enhance nocturnal radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Persistent moisture from the ongoing rainy season suppresses temperature swings, keeping overnight lows close to the climatological average while raising the chance of brief dips below 13°C in higher or less urbanized pockets. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 9–15°C thresholds because model runs show only modest differences in cloud timing and precipitation intensity that could shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C, with updated guidance expected from the next SMN regional briefing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$993Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a minimum temperature near 13–15°C for Mexico City on August 23, shaped by widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northerly winds that limit daytime heating and enhance nocturnal radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Persistent moisture from the ongoing rainy season suppresses temperature swings, keeping overnight lows close to the climatological average while raising the chance of brief dips below 13°C in higher or less urbanized pockets. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 9–15°C thresholds because model runs show only modest differences in cloud timing and precipitation intensity that could shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C, with updated guidance expected from the next SMN regional briefing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$993Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a minimum temperature near 13–15°C for Mexico City on August 23, shaped by widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northerly winds that limit daytime heating and enhance nocturnal radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Persistent moisture from the ongoing rainy season suppresses temperature swings, keeping overnight lows close to the climatological average while raising the chance of brief dips below 13°C in higher or less urbanized pockets. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 9–15°C thresholds because model runs show only modest differences in cloud timing and precipitation intensity that could shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C, with updated guidance expected from the next SMN regional briefing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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