**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C daily low in Chongqing today, reflecting model consensus from sources like local meteorological data showing overnight minima near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds.** Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate and Sichuan Basin topography typically trap heat, producing elevated nighttime temperatures even in early September, when historical averages hover around 22°C. Current conditions—highs near 35–36°C, dew points in the upper teens to low 20s°C, and minimal precipitation—support limited nocturnal cooling without a passing front or increased cloud cover to enhance radiative losses. Implied probabilities for 24°C or lower (around 35–36%) capture residual uncertainty from forecast model spreads or localized urban effects, while odds near zero for 27°C+ or 20°C and below align with the narrow expected range. Updated observational data through the night will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chongqing am 5. September?
20°C oder darunter 71%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
27°C <1%
20°C oder darunter
71%
21°C
-
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
-
25°C
35%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
20°C oder darunter 71%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
27°C <1%
20°C oder darunter
71%
21°C
-
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
-
25°C
35%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C daily low in Chongqing today, reflecting model consensus from sources like local meteorological data showing overnight minima near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds.** Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate and Sichuan Basin topography typically trap heat, producing elevated nighttime temperatures even in early September, when historical averages hover around 22°C. Current conditions—highs near 35–36°C, dew points in the upper teens to low 20s°C, and minimal precipitation—support limited nocturnal cooling without a passing front or increased cloud cover to enhance radiative losses. Implied probabilities for 24°C or lower (around 35–36%) capture residual uncertainty from forecast model spreads or localized urban effects, while odds near zero for 27°C+ or 20°C and below align with the narrow expected range. Updated observational data through the night will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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