Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu's overnight low on September 1 center near 21–22°C amid the Sichuan Basin's humid subtropical transition from monsoon influences, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around these values due to model spread in nocturnal conditions. Key differentiators include predicted cloud cover affecting radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer humidity sustaining or suppressing temperature drops, and light wind patterns limiting mixing; clearer skies and drier air favor the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43% consensus, while increased moisture or mixing supports 21–22°C probabilities near 40% and 32%. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-assessed ranges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chengdu am 1. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Chengdu am 1. September?
19°C or below 44%
21°C 40%
22°C 33%
23°C 27%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
19°C or below
44%
20°C
23%
21°C
40%
22°C
33%
23°C
27%
24°C
23%
25°C
22%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
19°C or below 44%
21°C 40%
22°C 33%
23°C 27%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
44%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
33%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu's overnight low on September 1 center near 21–22°C amid the Sichuan Basin's humid subtropical transition from monsoon influences, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around these values due to model spread in nocturnal conditions. Key differentiators include predicted cloud cover affecting radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer humidity sustaining or suppressing temperature drops, and light wind patterns limiting mixing; clearer skies and drier air favor the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43% consensus, while increased moisture or mixing supports 21–22°C probabilities near 40% and 32%. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-assessed ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu's overnight low on September 1 center near 21–22°C amid the Sichuan Basin's humid subtropical transition from monsoon influences, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around these values due to model spread in nocturnal conditions. Key differentiators include predicted cloud cover affecting radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer humidity sustaining or suppressing temperature drops, and light wind patterns limiting mixing; clearer skies and drier air favor the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43% consensus, while increased moisture or mixing supports 21–22°C probabilities near 40% and 32%. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-assessed ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu's overnight low on September 1 center near 21–22°C amid the Sichuan Basin's humid subtropical transition from monsoon influences, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around these values due to model spread in nocturnal conditions. Key differentiators include predicted cloud cover affecting radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer humidity sustaining or suppressing temperature drops, and light wind patterns limiting mixing; clearer skies and drier air favor the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43% consensus, while increased moisture or mixing supports 21–22°C probabilities near 40% and 32%. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-assessed ranges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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