**Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 31 point to mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds following a period of cloud cover and scattered rain through August 29–30, supporting a daytime high in the mid-30s°C.** Subtropical high pressure and downslope warming in the Sichuan Basin favor maximum temperatures near 33–36°C, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat effects. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local stations clusters around 32–34°C, while some U.S. models like WeatherBug project closer to 35–36°C under clearer conditions. Market-implied probabilities peaking at 36°C (45%) and 35°C (33.5%) align with this ensemble spread and the potential for brief afternoon heating before any evening stabilization. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 31. August?
36°C 45%
35°C 34%
34°C 13%
33°C 6%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
13%
35°C
34%
36°C
45%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 45%
35°C 34%
34°C 13%
33°C 6%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$636 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,157 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$545 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$454 Vol.
2%
33°C
$549 Vol.
6%
34°C
$818 Vol.
13%
35°C
$872 Vol.
34%
36°C
$2,412 Vol.
45%
37°C
$1,291 Vol.
6%
38°C
$495 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$376 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 31 point to mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds following a period of cloud cover and scattered rain through August 29–30, supporting a daytime high in the mid-30s°C.** Subtropical high pressure and downslope warming in the Sichuan Basin favor maximum temperatures near 33–36°C, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat effects. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local stations clusters around 32–34°C, while some U.S. models like WeatherBug project closer to 35–36°C under clearer conditions. Market-implied probabilities peaking at 36°C (45%) and 35°C (33.5%) align with this ensemble spread and the potential for brief afternoon heating before any evening stabilization. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$9,605Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 31 point to mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds following a period of cloud cover and scattered rain through August 29–30, supporting a daytime high in the mid-30s°C.** Subtropical high pressure and downslope warming in the Sichuan Basin favor maximum temperatures near 33–36°C, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat effects. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local stations clusters around 32–34°C, while some U.S. models like WeatherBug project closer to 35–36°C under clearer conditions. Market-implied probabilities peaking at 36°C (45%) and 35°C (33.5%) align with this ensemble spread and the potential for brief afternoon heating before any evening stabilization. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,605Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 31 point to mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds following a period of cloud cover and scattered rain through August 29–30, supporting a daytime high in the mid-30s°C.** Subtropical high pressure and downslope warming in the Sichuan Basin favor maximum temperatures near 33–36°C, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat effects. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local stations clusters around 32–34°C, while some U.S. models like WeatherBug project closer to 35–36°C under clearer conditions. Market-implied probabilities peaking at 36°C (45%) and 35°C (33.5%) align with this ensemble spread and the potential for brief afternoon heating before any evening stabilization. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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