Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal system bringing light rain and increased cloud cover to Beijing on September 8, 2026, which will limit daytime heating and enhance overnight radiative cooling. This setup creates tight competition in the market between a low of 12°C or below versus 22°C or higher, as the precise timing of showers and wind shifts—expected from the northeast—will determine how much the minimum temperature drops below typical early-September climatology of around 17–18°C. Ensemble guidance shows variability in boundary-layer moisture and cloud persistence, directly influencing whether the overnight low settles near 14–16°C or remains milder. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 8. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 8. September?
12°C oder darunter 100%
22°C oder höher 97%
13°C 48%
17°C 48%
NEU
NEU
8. Sep. 2026
12°C oder darunter
100%
13°C
48%
14°C
26%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
48%
18°C
48%
19°C
48%
20°C
1%
21°C
48%
22°C oder höher
97%
12°C oder darunter 100%
22°C oder höher 97%
13°C 48%
17°C 48%
NEU
NEU
8. Sep. 2026
12°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
100%
13°C
$0 Vol.
48%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
48%
18°C
$0 Vol.
48%
19°C
$0 Vol.
48%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
48%
22°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal system bringing light rain and increased cloud cover to Beijing on September 8, 2026, which will limit daytime heating and enhance overnight radiative cooling. This setup creates tight competition in the market between a low of 12°C or below versus 22°C or higher, as the precise timing of showers and wind shifts—expected from the northeast—will determine how much the minimum temperature drops below typical early-September climatology of around 17–18°C. Ensemble guidance shows variability in boundary-layer moisture and cloud persistence, directly influencing whether the overnight low settles near 14–16°C or remains milder. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal system bringing light rain and increased cloud cover to Beijing on September 8, 2026, which will limit daytime heating and enhance overnight radiative cooling. This setup creates tight competition in the market between a low of 12°C or below versus 22°C or higher, as the precise timing of showers and wind shifts—expected from the northeast—will determine how much the minimum temperature drops below typical early-September climatology of around 17–18°C. Ensemble guidance shows variability in boundary-layer moisture and cloud persistence, directly influencing whether the overnight low settles near 14–16°C or remains milder. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal system bringing light rain and increased cloud cover to Beijing on September 8, 2026, which will limit daytime heating and enhance overnight radiative cooling. This setup creates tight competition in the market between a low of 12°C or below versus 22°C or higher, as the precise timing of showers and wind shifts—expected from the northeast—will determine how much the minimum temperature drops below typical early-September climatology of around 17–18°C. Ensemble guidance shows variability in boundary-layer moisture and cloud persistence, directly influencing whether the overnight low settles near 14–16°C or remains milder. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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