Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological guidance indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 will likely fall between 23–25°C, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture, variable cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This positions 23°C and 24°C as the closest market outcomes at 34.5% and 38.5% implied probability, reflecting model divergence on convective activity and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 21°C, but current warm advection and humidity support slightly elevated readings, with any increased cloudiness or showers potentially trimming the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations through tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 24. August?
23°C 36%
24°C 35%
22°C 27%
26°C 27%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
7%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
36%
24°C
35%
25°C
20%
26°C
27%
27°C
11%
28°C
8%
29°C oder höher
21%
23°C 36%
24°C 35%
22°C 27%
26°C 27%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
7%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
36%
24°C
35%
25°C
20%
26°C
27%
27°C
11%
28°C
8%
29°C oder höher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological guidance indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 will likely fall between 23–25°C, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture, variable cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This positions 23°C and 24°C as the closest market outcomes at 34.5% and 38.5% implied probability, reflecting model divergence on convective activity and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 21°C, but current warm advection and humidity support slightly elevated readings, with any increased cloudiness or showers potentially trimming the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations through tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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