**Market-implied odds favor the 72–73°F or 68–69°F bins as the most likely minimum temperature recorded in Austin on September 5, 2026.** Forecasters from the National Weather Service and private models converge on a nighttime low near 76–79°F under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds of 5 mph or less, and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s that limit radiational cooling. However, small differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact station siting—particularly between the official Austin-Bergstrom Airport reading and urban or suburban microclimates—can easily shift the observed minimum by several degrees. With the market closely split between the two leading outcomes, traders are pricing the genuine uncertainty in how much overnight cooling will occur before sunrise amid an otherwise hot, humid late-summer pattern whose historical average low for the date is about 71°F. New model runs and the final hourly observations will resolve the range before the market settles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Austin am 5. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Austin am 5. September?
72-73°F 80%
67°F oder darunter 43%
68-69°F 36%
70-71°F 15%
NEU
NEU
5. Sep. 2026
67°F oder darunter
43%
68-69°F
36%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
77%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81 °F
<1%
82-83 °F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F oder höher
<1%
72-73°F 80%
67°F oder darunter 43%
68-69°F 36%
70-71°F 15%
NEU
NEU
5. Sep. 2026
67°F oder darunter
$12 Vol.
43%
68-69°F
$12 Vol.
36%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
15%
72-73°F
$35 Vol.
77%
74-75°F
$173 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$176 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$94 Vol.
<1%
80-81 °F
$109 Vol.
<1%
82-83 °F
$47 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$47 Vol.
<1%
86°F oder höher
$72 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor the 72–73°F or 68–69°F bins as the most likely minimum temperature recorded in Austin on September 5, 2026.** Forecasters from the National Weather Service and private models converge on a nighttime low near 76–79°F under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds of 5 mph or less, and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s that limit radiational cooling. However, small differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact station siting—particularly between the official Austin-Bergstrom Airport reading and urban or suburban microclimates—can easily shift the observed minimum by several degrees. With the market closely split between the two leading outcomes, traders are pricing the genuine uncertainty in how much overnight cooling will occur before sunrise amid an otherwise hot, humid late-summer pattern whose historical average low for the date is about 71°F. New model runs and the final hourly observations will resolve the range before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$747Enddatum
5. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor the 72–73°F or 68–69°F bins as the most likely minimum temperature recorded in Austin on September 5, 2026.** Forecasters from the National Weather Service and private models converge on a nighttime low near 76–79°F under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds of 5 mph or less, and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s that limit radiational cooling. However, small differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact station siting—particularly between the official Austin-Bergstrom Airport reading and urban or suburban microclimates—can easily shift the observed minimum by several degrees. With the market closely split between the two leading outcomes, traders are pricing the genuine uncertainty in how much overnight cooling will occur before sunrise amid an otherwise hot, humid late-summer pattern whose historical average low for the date is about 71°F. New model runs and the final hourly observations will resolve the range before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$747Enddatum
5. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor the 72–73°F or 68–69°F bins as the most likely minimum temperature recorded in Austin on September 5, 2026.** Forecasters from the National Weather Service and private models converge on a nighttime low near 76–79°F under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds of 5 mph or less, and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s that limit radiational cooling. However, small differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact station siting—particularly between the official Austin-Bergstrom Airport reading and urban or suburban microclimates—can easily shift the observed minimum by several degrees. With the market closely split between the two leading outcomes, traders are pricing the genuine uncertainty in how much overnight cooling will occur before sunrise amid an otherwise hot, humid late-summer pattern whose historical average low for the date is about 71°F. New model runs and the final hourly observations will resolve the range before the market settles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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