Current short-range forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, issued by sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 25 under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This consensus, amid a gradual easing of a regional heatwave, underpins the market-implied odds favoring 33°C at 55.5% followed by 34°C at 29%, as traders incorporate measurement variability at official stations and potential model adjustments before resolution. Seasonal baselines show late August maxima often near 30–32°C, with stable high pressure and dry air limiting extremes beyond 35°C. Updated model runs and any sea-breeze effects in the next 48 hours remain key variables that could shift the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 25. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 25. August?
33°C 56%
34°C 29%
32°C 11%
35°C 4%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
11%
33°C
56%
34°C
29%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 29%
32°C 11%
35°C 4%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$52 Vol.
2%
30°C
$84 Vol.
3%
31°C
$178 Vol.
3%
32°C
$112 Vol.
11%
33°C
$245 Vol.
56%
34°C
$86 Vol.
29%
35°C
$88 Vol.
4%
36°C
$20 Vol.
2%
37°C
$52 Vol.
2%
38°C
$24 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$94 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, issued by sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 25 under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This consensus, amid a gradual easing of a regional heatwave, underpins the market-implied odds favoring 33°C at 55.5% followed by 34°C at 29%, as traders incorporate measurement variability at official stations and potential model adjustments before resolution. Seasonal baselines show late August maxima often near 30–32°C, with stable high pressure and dry air limiting extremes beyond 35°C. Updated model runs and any sea-breeze effects in the next 48 hours remain key variables that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,035Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, issued by sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 25 under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This consensus, amid a gradual easing of a regional heatwave, underpins the market-implied odds favoring 33°C at 55.5% followed by 34°C at 29%, as traders incorporate measurement variability at official stations and potential model adjustments before resolution. Seasonal baselines show late August maxima often near 30–32°C, with stable high pressure and dry air limiting extremes beyond 35°C. Updated model runs and any sea-breeze effects in the next 48 hours remain key variables that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,035Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, issued by sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 25 under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This consensus, amid a gradual easing of a regional heatwave, underpins the market-implied odds favoring 33°C at 55.5% followed by 34°C at 29%, as traders incorporate measurement variability at official stations and potential model adjustments before resolution. Seasonal baselines show late August maxima often near 30–32°C, with stable high pressure and dry air limiting extremes beyond 35°C. Updated model runs and any sea-breeze effects in the next 48 hours remain key variables that could shift the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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