Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate Qingdao's August 24 peak will likely fall in the 28–30°C range under partly cloudy to multi-cloud skies, moderate southerly winds of 3–4 levels, and reduced rain chances after prior showers, with coastal marine air and high humidity tempering daytime heating. Official observations on August 23 showed similar midday readings near 29–32°C amid lingering instability, supporting modest warming potential if skies clear further. Trader consensus heavily favors 32–33°C outcomes, reflecting the latest model consensus or station-specific thresholds that could exceed broader guidance, alongside historical August variability in the region where southerly advection occasionally pushes highs above climatological norms near 29°C. Updated numerical guidance and China Meteorological Administration briefings expected overnight represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 24. August?
32°C 45%
33°C 31%
31°C 11%
34°C oder höher 6%
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
45%
33°C
31%
34°C oder höher
6%
32°C 45%
33°C 31%
31°C 11%
34°C oder höher 6%
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
45%
33°C
31%
34°C oder höher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate Qingdao's August 24 peak will likely fall in the 28–30°C range under partly cloudy to multi-cloud skies, moderate southerly winds of 3–4 levels, and reduced rain chances after prior showers, with coastal marine air and high humidity tempering daytime heating. Official observations on August 23 showed similar midday readings near 29–32°C amid lingering instability, supporting modest warming potential if skies clear further. Trader consensus heavily favors 32–33°C outcomes, reflecting the latest model consensus or station-specific thresholds that could exceed broader guidance, alongside historical August variability in the region where southerly advection occasionally pushes highs above climatological norms near 29°C. Updated numerical guidance and China Meteorological Administration briefings expected overnight represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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