Traders assign the highest implied probability (40.5%) to a 33°C peak in Panama City on August 12 because recent model guidance and climatological norms place daily maxima near or slightly above the 32°C August average during the wet season. Afternoon convection tied to the ITCZ and high boundary-layer moisture often produces scattered thunderstorms that can either suppress or briefly enhance temperatures depending on timing and cloud cover. With outcomes clustered tightly between 32°C and 34°C, small differences in insolation, wind, or storm initiation now separate the leading resolutions, and any late-day clearing or delayed rainfall would favor the upper end of that range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Panama City am 12. August?
33°C 41%
32°C 32%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
26°C oder weniger
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C
32%
33°C
41%
34°C
17%
35°C
2%
36°C oder höher
1%
33°C 41%
32°C 32%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
26°C oder weniger
$445 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$443 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$441 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$376 Vol.
1%
30°C
$188 Vol.
2%
31°C
$825 Vol.
12%
32°C
$1,588 Vol.
32%
33°C
$878 Vol.
41%
34°C
$2,181 Vol.
17%
35°C
$506 Vol.
2%
36°C oder höher
$332 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (40.5%) to a 33°C peak in Panama City on August 12 because recent model guidance and climatological norms place daily maxima near or slightly above the 32°C August average during the wet season. Afternoon convection tied to the ITCZ and high boundary-layer moisture often produces scattered thunderstorms that can either suppress or briefly enhance temperatures depending on timing and cloud cover. With outcomes clustered tightly between 32°C and 34°C, small differences in insolation, wind, or storm initiation now separate the leading resolutions, and any late-day clearing or delayed rainfall would favor the upper end of that range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$8,203Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (40.5%) to a 33°C peak in Panama City on August 12 because recent model guidance and climatological norms place daily maxima near or slightly above the 32°C August average during the wet season. Afternoon convection tied to the ITCZ and high boundary-layer moisture often produces scattered thunderstorms that can either suppress or briefly enhance temperatures depending on timing and cloud cover. With outcomes clustered tightly between 32°C and 34°C, small differences in insolation, wind, or storm initiation now separate the leading resolutions, and any late-day clearing or delayed rainfall would favor the upper end of that range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,203Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability (40.5%) to a 33°C peak in Panama City on August 12 because recent model guidance and climatological norms place daily maxima near or slightly above the 32°C August average during the wet season. Afternoon convection tied to the ITCZ and high boundary-layer moisture often produces scattered thunderstorms that can either suppress or briefly enhance temperatures depending on timing and cloud cover. With outcomes clustered tightly between 32°C and 34°C, small differences in insolation, wind, or storm initiation now separate the leading resolutions, and any late-day clearing or delayed rainfall would favor the upper end of that range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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