Trader sentiment for Mexico City’s August 12 maximum centers on 25–26 °C because multiple forecast models and official guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional converge on that narrow range. The city’s 2,240-meter elevation produces mild summer highs even at the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon convection, cloud build-up, and scattered showers routinely limit surface heating and cap daytime maxima. Historical August climatology (typical highs 23–25 °C) and recent observational trends reinforce this tight distribution, while minor upward revisions in guidance keep outcomes outside 24–26 °C at low implied odds. Traders are weighting the latest model runs against the city’s elevation-driven moderation and expected convective suppression of insolation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 12. August?
26°C 44%
25°C 37%
27°C 12%
24°C 10%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
37%
26°C
44%
27°C
12%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
1%
26°C 44%
25°C 37%
27°C 12%
24°C 10%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
19°C oder darunter
$493 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$493 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$551 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$412 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,033 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,319 Vol.
10%
25°C
$1,333 Vol.
37%
26°C
$1,186 Vol.
44%
27°C
$890 Vol.
12%
28°C
$546 Vol.
1%
29°C oder höher
$511 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Mexico City’s August 12 maximum centers on 25–26 °C because multiple forecast models and official guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional converge on that narrow range. The city’s 2,240-meter elevation produces mild summer highs even at the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon convection, cloud build-up, and scattered showers routinely limit surface heating and cap daytime maxima. Historical August climatology (typical highs 23–25 °C) and recent observational trends reinforce this tight distribution, while minor upward revisions in guidance keep outcomes outside 24–26 °C at low implied odds. Traders are weighting the latest model runs against the city’s elevation-driven moderation and expected convective suppression of insolation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$8,767Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Mexico City’s August 12 maximum centers on 25–26 °C because multiple forecast models and official guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional converge on that narrow range. The city’s 2,240-meter elevation produces mild summer highs even at the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon convection, cloud build-up, and scattered showers routinely limit surface heating and cap daytime maxima. Historical August climatology (typical highs 23–25 °C) and recent observational trends reinforce this tight distribution, while minor upward revisions in guidance keep outcomes outside 24–26 °C at low implied odds. Traders are weighting the latest model runs against the city’s elevation-driven moderation and expected convective suppression of insolation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,767Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Mexico City’s August 12 maximum centers on 25–26 °C because multiple forecast models and official guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional converge on that narrow range. The city’s 2,240-meter elevation produces mild summer highs even at the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon convection, cloud build-up, and scattered showers routinely limit surface heating and cap daytime maxima. Historical August climatology (typical highs 23–25 °C) and recent observational trends reinforce this tight distribution, while minor upward revisions in guidance keep outcomes outside 24–26 °C at low implied odds. Traders are weighting the latest model runs against the city’s elevation-driven moderation and expected convective suppression of insolation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen