Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate daytime highs in Moscow of 22–24°C on August 23 under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and minimal precipitation risk, positioning 23°C as the consensus peak. Model runs show afternoon temperatures climbing steadily toward this range from morning lows near 16–18°C, consistent with late-August climatology and the absence of strong frontal systems or anomalous heat advection. Trader emphasis on 23°C over 22°C or 24°C reflects the narrow spread in official guidance and typical measurement variability at urban stations, with lower-probability tails for 25°C+ or sub-21°C outcomes constrained by current atmospheric stability and the day's remaining observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 23. August?
23°C 61%
22°C 28%
24°C 9%
25°C 1.0%
$14,142 Vol.
$14,142 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
28%
23°C
61%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 61%
22°C 28%
24°C 9%
25°C 1.0%
$14,142 Vol.
$14,142 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
28%
23°C
61%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate daytime highs in Moscow of 22–24°C on August 23 under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and minimal precipitation risk, positioning 23°C as the consensus peak. Model runs show afternoon temperatures climbing steadily toward this range from morning lows near 16–18°C, consistent with late-August climatology and the absence of strong frontal systems or anomalous heat advection. Trader emphasis on 23°C over 22°C or 24°C reflects the narrow spread in official guidance and typical measurement variability at urban stations, with lower-probability tails for 25°C+ or sub-21°C outcomes constrained by current atmospheric stability and the day's remaining observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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