Latest numerical weather models from sources like ECMWF and local Italian forecasts project a Tuesday high in Milan around 26–28°C, with 27°C emerging as the modal outcome due to partial cloud cover and a 50–60% chance of thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Light easterly to southeasterly winds and dew points near 18–19°C support modest instability without strong advection of warmer air. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly as convective timing determines whether clearing allows brief spikes toward 28°C or sustained clouds cap values nearer 26°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 25. August?
27°C 35%
26°C 28%
28°C 26%
29°C 11%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
35%
28°C
26%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 35%
26°C 28%
28°C 26%
29°C 11%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
35%
28°C
26%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models from sources like ECMWF and local Italian forecasts project a Tuesday high in Milan around 26–28°C, with 27°C emerging as the modal outcome due to partial cloud cover and a 50–60% chance of thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Light easterly to southeasterly winds and dew points near 18–19°C support modest instability without strong advection of warmer air. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly as convective timing determines whether clearing allows brief spikes toward 28°C or sustained clouds cap values nearer 26°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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