PAGASA's latest forecast for August 2 highlights a 33°C maximum in Metro Manila amid partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, driven by the southwest monsoon and a nearby low-pressure area east of Luzon that enhances moisture and convective cloud cover. These conditions typically limit peak solar heating, keeping daily highs near the 31–33°C climatological range for early August rather than allowing stronger insolation to push temperatures higher. Trader consensus clustering on 31–32°C reflects model agreement on persistent cloudiness and rainfall potential moderating extremes, though any reduction in convective activity or clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Official observations from PAGASA stations will determine resolution, with monsoon variability introducing the main uncertainty in the final maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 2. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 2. August?
32°C 39%
31°C 36%
30°C 14%
33°C 10%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
26°C oder weniger
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
36%
32°C
39%
33°C
10%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C oder höher
1%
32°C 39%
31°C 36%
30°C 14%
33°C 10%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
26°C oder weniger
$41 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$56 Vol.
1%
29°C
$245 Vol.
4%
30°C
$50 Vol.
14%
31°C
$127 Vol.
36%
32°C
$1,163 Vol.
39%
33°C
$365 Vol.
10%
34°C
$194 Vol.
3%
35°C
$890 Vol.
1%
36°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest forecast for August 2 highlights a 33°C maximum in Metro Manila amid partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, driven by the southwest monsoon and a nearby low-pressure area east of Luzon that enhances moisture and convective cloud cover. These conditions typically limit peak solar heating, keeping daily highs near the 31–33°C climatological range for early August rather than allowing stronger insolation to push temperatures higher. Trader consensus clustering on 31–32°C reflects model agreement on persistent cloudiness and rainfall potential moderating extremes, though any reduction in convective activity or clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Official observations from PAGASA stations will determine resolution, with monsoon variability introducing the main uncertainty in the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$3,177Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest forecast for August 2 highlights a 33°C maximum in Metro Manila amid partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, driven by the southwest monsoon and a nearby low-pressure area east of Luzon that enhances moisture and convective cloud cover. These conditions typically limit peak solar heating, keeping daily highs near the 31–33°C climatological range for early August rather than allowing stronger insolation to push temperatures higher. Trader consensus clustering on 31–32°C reflects model agreement on persistent cloudiness and rainfall potential moderating extremes, though any reduction in convective activity or clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Official observations from PAGASA stations will determine resolution, with monsoon variability introducing the main uncertainty in the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,177Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest forecast for August 2 highlights a 33°C maximum in Metro Manila amid partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, driven by the southwest monsoon and a nearby low-pressure area east of Luzon that enhances moisture and convective cloud cover. These conditions typically limit peak solar heating, keeping daily highs near the 31–33°C climatological range for early August rather than allowing stronger insolation to push temperatures higher. Trader consensus clustering on 31–32°C reflects model agreement on persistent cloudiness and rainfall potential moderating extremes, though any reduction in convective activity or clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Official observations from PAGASA stations will determine resolution, with monsoon variability introducing the main uncertainty in the final maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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