Current forecast models point to a peak temperature of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 6 under clear skies and southerly flow associated with high pressure. This setup promotes strong daytime radiative heating with minimal cloud cover and low humidity, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the early-September climatological average of roughly 29°C. Subtle differences between 36°C and 37°C hinge on exact timing of any afternoon wind shift, boundary-layer mixing depth, and localized urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with limited upside risk for 38°C or higher unless models trend warmer overnight. Updated runs from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 6. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 6. September?
37°C 48%
36°C 43%
38°C 9%
35°C 3%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
33°C oder weniger
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
43%
37°C
48%
38°C
9%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C oder höher
<1%
37°C 48%
36°C 43%
38°C 9%
35°C 3%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
33°C oder weniger
$495 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$389 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,285 Vol.
3%
36°C
$1,935 Vol.
43%
37°C
$2,086 Vol.
48%
38°C
$1,792 Vol.
9%
39°C
$415 Vol.
1%
40°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
43°C oder höher
$189 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a peak temperature of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 6 under clear skies and southerly flow associated with high pressure. This setup promotes strong daytime radiative heating with minimal cloud cover and low humidity, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the early-September climatological average of roughly 29°C. Subtle differences between 36°C and 37°C hinge on exact timing of any afternoon wind shift, boundary-layer mixing depth, and localized urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with limited upside risk for 38°C or higher unless models trend warmer overnight. Updated runs from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$9,497Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a peak temperature of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 6 under clear skies and southerly flow associated with high pressure. This setup promotes strong daytime radiative heating with minimal cloud cover and low humidity, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the early-September climatological average of roughly 29°C. Subtle differences between 36°C and 37°C hinge on exact timing of any afternoon wind shift, boundary-layer mixing depth, and localized urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with limited upside risk for 38°C or higher unless models trend warmer overnight. Updated runs from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,497Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models point to a peak temperature of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 6 under clear skies and southerly flow associated with high pressure. This setup promotes strong daytime radiative heating with minimal cloud cover and low humidity, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the early-September climatological average of roughly 29°C. Subtle differences between 36°C and 37°C hinge on exact timing of any afternoon wind shift, boundary-layer mixing depth, and localized urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with limited upside risk for 38°C or higher unless models trend warmer overnight. Updated runs from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen