Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office place Madrid’s August 7 high near 37–38 °C under clear skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus splits tightly between 38 °C and 39 °C because small differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, or exact timing of peak insolation can shift the observed maximum by one degree. Historical August averages hover around 33 °C, so the elevated readings reflect above-normal warmth driven by the ongoing subtropical ridge rather than a heatwave outbreak. Updated model runs and official observations issued overnight will likely determine whether the market tilts toward the higher or lower of the two leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 7. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 7. August?
39°C 52%
38°C 43%
37°C 6%
40°C 5%
NEU
$14,520 Vol.
NEU
$14,520 Vol.
7. Aug. 2026
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
6%
38°C
43%
39°C
52%
40°C
5%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 52%
38°C 43%
37°C 6%
40°C 5%
NEU
$14,520 Vol.
NEU
$14,520 Vol.
7. Aug. 2026
35°C or below
$751 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$644 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,490 Vol.
6%
38°C
$3,713 Vol.
43%
39°C
$3,722 Vol.
52%
40°C
$1,010 Vol.
5%
41°C
$661 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$410 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
45°C or higher
$397 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office place Madrid’s August 7 high near 37–38 °C under clear skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus splits tightly between 38 °C and 39 °C because small differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, or exact timing of peak insolation can shift the observed maximum by one degree. Historical August averages hover around 33 °C, so the elevated readings reflect above-normal warmth driven by the ongoing subtropical ridge rather than a heatwave outbreak. Updated model runs and official observations issued overnight will likely determine whether the market tilts toward the higher or lower of the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$14,520Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office place Madrid’s August 7 high near 37–38 °C under clear skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus splits tightly between 38 °C and 39 °C because small differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, or exact timing of peak insolation can shift the observed maximum by one degree. Historical August averages hover around 33 °C, so the elevated readings reflect above-normal warmth driven by the ongoing subtropical ridge rather than a heatwave outbreak. Updated model runs and official observations issued overnight will likely determine whether the market tilts toward the higher or lower of the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,520Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office place Madrid’s August 7 high near 37–38 °C under clear skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus splits tightly between 38 °C and 39 °C because small differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, or exact timing of peak insolation can shift the observed maximum by one degree. Historical August averages hover around 33 °C, so the elevated readings reflect above-normal warmth driven by the ongoing subtropical ridge rather than a heatwave outbreak. Updated model runs and official observations issued overnight will likely determine whether the market tilts toward the higher or lower of the two leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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