Persistent marine layer influence and steady onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring National Weather Service model consensus near 74–77°F for the official Los Angeles station on August 15, aligning with the market’s dominant 76–77°F (49.5%) and 74–75°F (33.5%) outcomes. A strong temperature inversion caps daytime heating while low-level stratus and sea breezes deliver cooler maritime air, keeping highs below the 84–85°F August climatological average at coastal sites. Recent moderation following July’s extreme heat episode has reinforced this pattern, with ensemble guidance showing minimal day-to-day variability and low odds of significant warming absent a shift in the Pacific high or subsidence. Traders are pricing in these atmospheric conditions while noting that any late erosion of the marine layer or stronger offshore flow could still nudge readings into the low 80s.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 15. August?
76-77°F 49%
74-75°F 34%
78-79°F 11%
72-73°F 6%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
65°F oder darunter
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
3%
84°F oder höher
<1%
76-77°F 49%
74-75°F 34%
78-79°F 11%
72-73°F 6%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
65°F oder darunter
$302 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$127 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$35 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$169 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$723 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$283 Vol.
34%
76-77°F
$1,184 Vol.
49%
78-79°F
$186 Vol.
11%
80-81°F
$119 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$117 Vol.
3%
84°F oder höher
$192 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and steady onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring National Weather Service model consensus near 74–77°F for the official Los Angeles station on August 15, aligning with the market’s dominant 76–77°F (49.5%) and 74–75°F (33.5%) outcomes. A strong temperature inversion caps daytime heating while low-level stratus and sea breezes deliver cooler maritime air, keeping highs below the 84–85°F August climatological average at coastal sites. Recent moderation following July’s extreme heat episode has reinforced this pattern, with ensemble guidance showing minimal day-to-day variability and low odds of significant warming absent a shift in the Pacific high or subsidence. Traders are pricing in these atmospheric conditions while noting that any late erosion of the marine layer or stronger offshore flow could still nudge readings into the low 80s.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volumen
$3,438Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and steady onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring National Weather Service model consensus near 74–77°F for the official Los Angeles station on August 15, aligning with the market’s dominant 76–77°F (49.5%) and 74–75°F (33.5%) outcomes. A strong temperature inversion caps daytime heating while low-level stratus and sea breezes deliver cooler maritime air, keeping highs below the 84–85°F August climatological average at coastal sites. Recent moderation following July’s extreme heat episode has reinforced this pattern, with ensemble guidance showing minimal day-to-day variability and low odds of significant warming absent a shift in the Pacific high or subsidence. Traders are pricing in these atmospheric conditions while noting that any late erosion of the marine layer or stronger offshore flow could still nudge readings into the low 80s.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,438Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer influence and steady onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring National Weather Service model consensus near 74–77°F for the official Los Angeles station on August 15, aligning with the market’s dominant 76–77°F (49.5%) and 74–75°F (33.5%) outcomes. A strong temperature inversion caps daytime heating while low-level stratus and sea breezes deliver cooler maritime air, keeping highs below the 84–85°F August climatological average at coastal sites. Recent moderation following July’s extreme heat episode has reinforced this pattern, with ensemble guidance showing minimal day-to-day variability and low odds of significant warming absent a shift in the Pacific high or subsidence. Traders are pricing in these atmospheric conditions while noting that any late erosion of the marine layer or stronger offshore flow could still nudge readings into the low 80s.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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