The closely matched odds between 22°C (48%) and 23°C (41%) stem from slight variations across official forecast models for London's peak temperature today. Met Office guidance and multiple ensemble runs indicate a maximum near 22°C under sunny intervals, light westerly winds of 8–14 km/h, and high pressure near 1024 hPa, with some projections allowing a brief afternoon spike to 23°C depending on cloud cover and local urban heat effects. September climatology typically averages 19–20°C, so current clear conditions support the elevated range, though model disagreement on exact timing of any peak creates the tight spread ahead of final station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 5. September?
22°C 48%
23°C 42%
24°C 9%
21°C 4%
$36,624 Vol.
$36,624 Vol.
18°C oder weniger
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
48%
23°C
42%
24°C
9%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 48%
23°C 42%
24°C 9%
21°C 4%
$36,624 Vol.
$36,624 Vol.
18°C oder weniger
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
48%
23°C
42%
24°C
9%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched odds between 22°C (48%) and 23°C (41%) stem from slight variations across official forecast models for London's peak temperature today. Met Office guidance and multiple ensemble runs indicate a maximum near 22°C under sunny intervals, light westerly winds of 8–14 km/h, and high pressure near 1024 hPa, with some projections allowing a brief afternoon spike to 23°C depending on cloud cover and local urban heat effects. September climatology typically averages 19–20°C, so current clear conditions support the elevated range, though model disagreement on exact timing of any peak creates the tight spread ahead of final station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen