Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 29°C in Istanbul on August 20 under mostly sunny late-summer conditions with light northerly flow. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C, where traders weigh ensemble spread against typical Mediterranean influences such as Bosphorus sea breezes that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C and variable boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages of 27–29°C provide context, yet short-term shifts in cloud cover or wind speed introduce the observed probability distribution. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 20. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 20. August?
28°C 51%
26°C 25%
27°C 25%
29°C 16%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
25%
28°C
29%
29°C
16%
30°C
11%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 51%
26°C 25%
27°C 25%
29°C 16%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$143 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$49 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
7%
26°C
$647 Vol.
25%
27°C
$78 Vol.
25%
28°C
$85 Vol.
29%
29°C
$100 Vol.
16%
30°C
$24 Vol.
11%
31°C
$5 Vol.
7%
32°C
$5 Vol.
7%
33°C or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 29°C in Istanbul on August 20 under mostly sunny late-summer conditions with light northerly flow. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C, where traders weigh ensemble spread against typical Mediterranean influences such as Bosphorus sea breezes that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C and variable boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages of 27–29°C provide context, yet short-term shifts in cloud cover or wind speed introduce the observed probability distribution. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,166Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 29°C in Istanbul on August 20 under mostly sunny late-summer conditions with light northerly flow. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C, where traders weigh ensemble spread against typical Mediterranean influences such as Bosphorus sea breezes that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C and variable boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages of 27–29°C provide context, yet short-term shifts in cloud cover or wind speed introduce the observed probability distribution. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,166Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 29°C in Istanbul on August 20 under mostly sunny late-summer conditions with light northerly flow. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C, where traders weigh ensemble spread against typical Mediterranean influences such as Bosphorus sea breezes that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C and variable boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages of 27–29°C provide context, yet short-term shifts in cloud cover or wind speed introduce the observed probability distribution. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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