Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and models points to a peak temperature in the mid-80s for New York City on August 18, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins. Above-average seasonal warmth, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover, supports these levels against the 83°F August climatological norm at Central Park. Subtle variations in timing of any passing showers, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat island effects differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, while official observations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 18. August?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 18. August?
84-85°F 43%
86-87°F 33%
82-83°F 11%
88-89°F 6%
NEU
$23,981 Vol.
NEU
$23,981 Vol.
18. Aug. 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
43%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 43%
86-87°F 33%
82-83°F 11%
88-89°F 6%
NEU
$23,981 Vol.
NEU
$23,981 Vol.
18. Aug. 2026
75°F or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,182 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,438 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$3,478 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$3,188 Vol.
11%
84-85°F
$4,060 Vol.
43%
86-87°F
$3,975 Vol.
33%
88-89°F
$2,733 Vol.
6%
90-91°F
$1,286 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$321 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and models points to a peak temperature in the mid-80s for New York City on August 18, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins. Above-average seasonal warmth, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover, supports these levels against the 83°F August climatological norm at Central Park. Subtle variations in timing of any passing showers, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat island effects differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, while official observations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volumen
$23,981Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and models points to a peak temperature in the mid-80s for New York City on August 18, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins. Above-average seasonal warmth, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover, supports these levels against the 83°F August climatological norm at Central Park. Subtle variations in timing of any passing showers, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat island effects differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, while official observations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$23,981Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and models points to a peak temperature in the mid-80s for New York City on August 18, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins. Above-average seasonal warmth, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover, supports these levels against the 83°F August climatological norm at Central Park. Subtle variations in timing of any passing showers, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat island effects differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, while official observations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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