Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office indicate a maximum of 22°C for Amsterdam on August 20, with surrounding days near 21°C amid typical late-summer Atlantic flow and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with historical August averages of 21–22°C highs and position 21°C as the market leader at 42% implied probability, followed closely by 20°C and 22°C. Model consensus shows low deviation risk from these values due to stable pressure patterns and no incoming heat dome or strong cold front, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C before resolution. Traders appear to weight this near-term observational guidance heavily in setting the tight clustering around seasonal norms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 20. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 20. August?
21°C 42%
20°C 28%
22°C 22%
19°C 7%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
28%
21°C
42%
22°C
22%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 42%
20°C 28%
22°C 22%
19°C 7%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
15°C or below
$65 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$202 Vol.
1%
18°C
$163 Vol.
2%
19°C
$78 Vol.
7%
20°C
$325 Vol.
28%
21°C
$229 Vol.
42%
22°C
$424 Vol.
22%
23°C
$99 Vol.
6%
24°C
$15 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$23 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office indicate a maximum of 22°C for Amsterdam on August 20, with surrounding days near 21°C amid typical late-summer Atlantic flow and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with historical August averages of 21–22°C highs and position 21°C as the market leader at 42% implied probability, followed closely by 20°C and 22°C. Model consensus shows low deviation risk from these values due to stable pressure patterns and no incoming heat dome or strong cold front, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C before resolution. Traders appear to weight this near-term observational guidance heavily in setting the tight clustering around seasonal norms.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$1,642Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office indicate a maximum of 22°C for Amsterdam on August 20, with surrounding days near 21°C amid typical late-summer Atlantic flow and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with historical August averages of 21–22°C highs and position 21°C as the market leader at 42% implied probability, followed closely by 20°C and 22°C. Model consensus shows low deviation risk from these values due to stable pressure patterns and no incoming heat dome or strong cold front, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C before resolution. Traders appear to weight this near-term observational guidance heavily in setting the tight clustering around seasonal norms.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,642Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office indicate a maximum of 22°C for Amsterdam on August 20, with surrounding days near 21°C amid typical late-summer Atlantic flow and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with historical August averages of 21–22°C highs and position 21°C as the market leader at 42% implied probability, followed closely by 20°C and 22°C. Model consensus shows low deviation risk from these values due to stable pressure patterns and no incoming heat dome or strong cold front, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C before resolution. Traders appear to weight this near-term observational guidance heavily in setting the tight clustering around seasonal norms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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