Ensemble forecasts from NOAA and other models currently point to peak temperatures in the mid- to upper-90s°F for Houston on August 15, aligning with the near-even market split between the 94-95°F and 96-97°F outcomes. Typical mid-August conditions feature high humidity, strong solar heating, and a sea breeze that moderates coastal areas while allowing inland maxima near or slightly above the 95°F climatological average. Afternoon convective development remains the key variable: scattered thunderstorms could enhance cloud cover and limit surface heating to the lower bin, whereas delayed or weaker activity would permit stronger insolation and a higher maximum. Recent model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, sustaining trader uncertainty until the final forecast updates on August 15.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Houston am 15. August?
96-97°F 38%
94-95°F 36%
92-93°F 11%
98-99°F 10%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
85°F oder darunter
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90–91 °F
3%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
38%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F oder höher
<1%
96-97°F 38%
94-95°F 36%
92-93°F 11%
98-99°F 10%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
85°F oder darunter
$117 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$143 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$150 Vol.
1%
90–91 °F
$87 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$87 Vol.
11%
94-95°F
$80 Vol.
36%
96-97°F
$1,094 Vol.
38%
98-99°F
$247 Vol.
10%
100-101°F
$48 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$234 Vol.
<1%
104°F oder höher
$244 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from NOAA and other models currently point to peak temperatures in the mid- to upper-90s°F for Houston on August 15, aligning with the near-even market split between the 94-95°F and 96-97°F outcomes. Typical mid-August conditions feature high humidity, strong solar heating, and a sea breeze that moderates coastal areas while allowing inland maxima near or slightly above the 95°F climatological average. Afternoon convective development remains the key variable: scattered thunderstorms could enhance cloud cover and limit surface heating to the lower bin, whereas delayed or weaker activity would permit stronger insolation and a higher maximum. Recent model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, sustaining trader uncertainty until the final forecast updates on August 15.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volumen
$2,533Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from NOAA and other models currently point to peak temperatures in the mid- to upper-90s°F for Houston on August 15, aligning with the near-even market split between the 94-95°F and 96-97°F outcomes. Typical mid-August conditions feature high humidity, strong solar heating, and a sea breeze that moderates coastal areas while allowing inland maxima near or slightly above the 95°F climatological average. Afternoon convective development remains the key variable: scattered thunderstorms could enhance cloud cover and limit surface heating to the lower bin, whereas delayed or weaker activity would permit stronger insolation and a higher maximum. Recent model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, sustaining trader uncertainty until the final forecast updates on August 15.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,533Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from NOAA and other models currently point to peak temperatures in the mid- to upper-90s°F for Houston on August 15, aligning with the near-even market split between the 94-95°F and 96-97°F outcomes. Typical mid-August conditions feature high humidity, strong solar heating, and a sea breeze that moderates coastal areas while allowing inland maxima near or slightly above the 95°F climatological average. Afternoon convective development remains the key variable: scattered thunderstorms could enhance cloud cover and limit surface heating to the lower bin, whereas delayed or weaker activity would permit stronger insolation and a higher maximum. Recent model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, sustaining trader uncertainty until the final forecast updates on August 15.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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