**Forecast consensus from models and the Hong Kong Observatory points to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C on September 7, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes.** Recent observations show highs near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, while light winds and high humidity limit rapid warming. Cloud cover and precipitation probability moderate peak temperatures by reducing solar insolation, yet brief sunny intervals support readings at the upper end of the range. The approaching northeast monsoon transition later in the week introduces slight cooling potential but remains secondary for this date. Updated official guidance and model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 7. September?
32°C 36%
31°C 34%
30°C 16%
29°C 13%
25°C oder weniger
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
13%
30°C
16%
31°C
34%
32°C
36%
33°C
11%
34°C
5%
35°C oder höher
6%
32°C 36%
31°C 34%
30°C 16%
29°C 13%
25°C oder weniger
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
13%
30°C
16%
31°C
34%
32°C
36%
33°C
11%
34°C
5%
35°C oder höher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from models and the Hong Kong Observatory points to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C on September 7, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes.** Recent observations show highs near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, while light winds and high humidity limit rapid warming. Cloud cover and precipitation probability moderate peak temperatures by reducing solar insolation, yet brief sunny intervals support readings at the upper end of the range. The approaching northeast monsoon transition later in the week introduces slight cooling potential but remains secondary for this date. Updated official guidance and model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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