Forecast models from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 30–31°C on September 14, driven by partly cloudy skies, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating and enhance evaporative cooling. High humidity near 70–80% further moderates surface temperatures while raising heat index values. Trader emphasis on 31°C and 32°C outcomes aligns with these consensus runs and September climatology, where the long-term average high hovers around 31°C; lower odds on 30°C or 33°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing that could allow additional warming. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. September?
31°C 41%
32°C 34%
30°C 16%
33°C 10%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
16%
31°C
41%
32°C
34%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 41%
32°C 34%
30°C 16%
33°C 10%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
$323 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,002 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$879 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,840 Vol.
16%
31°C
$442 Vol.
41%
32°C
$1,908 Vol.
34%
33°C
$340 Vol.
10%
34°C
$615 Vol.
1%
35°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
36°C oder höher
$282 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 30–31°C on September 14, driven by partly cloudy skies, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating and enhance evaporative cooling. High humidity near 70–80% further moderates surface temperatures while raising heat index values. Trader emphasis on 31°C and 32°C outcomes aligns with these consensus runs and September climatology, where the long-term average high hovers around 31°C; lower odds on 30°C or 33°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing that could allow additional warming. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,034Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 30–31°C on September 14, driven by partly cloudy skies, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating and enhance evaporative cooling. High humidity near 70–80% further moderates surface temperatures while raising heat index values. Trader emphasis on 31°C and 32°C outcomes aligns with these consensus runs and September climatology, where the long-term average high hovers around 31°C; lower odds on 30°C or 33°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing that could allow additional warming. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,034Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 30–31°C on September 14, driven by partly cloudy skies, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating and enhance evaporative cooling. High humidity near 70–80% further moderates surface temperatures while raising heat index values. Trader emphasis on 31°C and 32°C outcomes aligns with these consensus runs and September climatology, where the long-term average high hovers around 31°C; lower odds on 30°C or 33°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing that could allow additional warming. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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