Latest National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 92°F for Denver on August 24 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, aligning with trader emphasis on the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Persistent hot conditions earlier in August, including multiple days above 95°F at Denver International Airport, set a warm baseline, but steering patterns and diurnal convection are expected to moderate peaks compared to recent maxima. Model consensus favors limited intensification before storms develop, with historical August 24 averages near 86°F providing context for the implied probabilities centered in the low 90s. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the peak heating period will refine these market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Denver am 24. August?
90-91°F 55%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 11%
94-95°F 5%
79°F oder darunter
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
55%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
2%
98°F oder höher
1%
90-91°F 55%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 11%
94-95°F 5%
79°F oder darunter
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
55%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
2%
98°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 92°F for Denver on August 24 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, aligning with trader emphasis on the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Persistent hot conditions earlier in August, including multiple days above 95°F at Denver International Airport, set a warm baseline, but steering patterns and diurnal convection are expected to moderate peaks compared to recent maxima. Model consensus favors limited intensification before storms develop, with historical August 24 averages near 86°F providing context for the implied probabilities centered in the low 90s. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the peak heating period will refine these market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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