Current forecast guidance from NOAA and local models positions the daily high near 100°F as the most likely outcome for Dallas on August 4, aligning with the market’s leading 58.5% implied probability for 100-101°F. Normal early-August maxima average 95–96°F, but persistent subtropical ridging, clear skies, and light southerly flow support strong afternoon heating, with recent model runs showing consensus around 99–102°F and limited moisture to moderate temperatures. The secondary 25.5% probability on 102-103°F reflects upside potential from any delayed cloud cover or drier air, while lower bins capture the smaller chance of modest cooling from convective development; traders are weighting real-time observational trends and updated guidance that keep the distribution centered on low-100s values.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 4. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Dallas am 4. August?
100-101°F 62%
102-103°F 26%
98-99 °F 13%
97°F oder niedriger 1.5%
NEU
$14,341 Vol.
NEU
$14,341 Vol.
4. Aug. 2026
97°F oder niedriger
2%
98-99 °F
13%
100-101°F
62%
102-103°F
26%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F oder höher
<1%
100-101°F 62%
102-103°F 26%
98-99 °F 13%
97°F oder niedriger 1.5%
NEU
$14,341 Vol.
NEU
$14,341 Vol.
4. Aug. 2026
97°F oder niedriger
$1,947 Vol.
2%
98-99 °F
$1,768 Vol.
13%
100-101°F
$4,623 Vol.
62%
102-103°F
$1,345 Vol.
26%
104-105°F
$1,650 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$958 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$385 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$389 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$519 Vol.
<1%
114-115°F
$367 Vol.
<1%
116°F oder höher
$389 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from NOAA and local models positions the daily high near 100°F as the most likely outcome for Dallas on August 4, aligning with the market’s leading 58.5% implied probability for 100-101°F. Normal early-August maxima average 95–96°F, but persistent subtropical ridging, clear skies, and light southerly flow support strong afternoon heating, with recent model runs showing consensus around 99–102°F and limited moisture to moderate temperatures. The secondary 25.5% probability on 102-103°F reflects upside potential from any delayed cloud cover or drier air, while lower bins capture the smaller chance of modest cooling from convective development; traders are weighting real-time observational trends and updated guidance that keep the distribution centered on low-100s values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$14,341Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from NOAA and local models positions the daily high near 100°F as the most likely outcome for Dallas on August 4, aligning with the market’s leading 58.5% implied probability for 100-101°F. Normal early-August maxima average 95–96°F, but persistent subtropical ridging, clear skies, and light southerly flow support strong afternoon heating, with recent model runs showing consensus around 99–102°F and limited moisture to moderate temperatures. The secondary 25.5% probability on 102-103°F reflects upside potential from any delayed cloud cover or drier air, while lower bins capture the smaller chance of modest cooling from convective development; traders are weighting real-time observational trends and updated guidance that keep the distribution centered on low-100s values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,341Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from NOAA and local models positions the daily high near 100°F as the most likely outcome for Dallas on August 4, aligning with the market’s leading 58.5% implied probability for 100-101°F. Normal early-August maxima average 95–96°F, but persistent subtropical ridging, clear skies, and light southerly flow support strong afternoon heating, with recent model runs showing consensus around 99–102°F and limited moisture to moderate temperatures. The secondary 25.5% probability on 102-103°F reflects upside potential from any delayed cloud cover or drier air, while lower bins capture the smaller chance of modest cooling from convective development; traders are weighting real-time observational trends and updated guidance that keep the distribution centered on low-100s values.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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