Recent forecasts from multiple models, including BBC Weather and AccuWeather, converge on a maximum temperature of 18–19°C for Cape Town on August 24 under clear to mostly sunny skies and moderate southerly winds. This positioning reflects typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where a stable high-pressure system dominates and limits warm-air advection from the north. Historical August averages hover near 17–18°C, providing climatological context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these values. With resolution just hours away, traders are weighting the latest observational data and model runs heavily, as minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could nudge the outcome between the leading 18°C and 19°C bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 24. August?
19°C 47%
18°C 26%
20°C 16%
17°C 7%
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C
26%
19°C
47%
20°C
16%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C oder höher
1%
19°C 47%
18°C 26%
20°C 16%
17°C 7%
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C
26%
19°C
47%
20°C
16%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including BBC Weather and AccuWeather, converge on a maximum temperature of 18–19°C for Cape Town on August 24 under clear to mostly sunny skies and moderate southerly winds. This positioning reflects typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where a stable high-pressure system dominates and limits warm-air advection from the north. Historical August averages hover near 17–18°C, providing climatological context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these values. With resolution just hours away, traders are weighting the latest observational data and model runs heavily, as minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could nudge the outcome between the leading 18°C and 19°C bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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