Current meteorological forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate project a sunny day in Ankara with light northeasterly winds and a maximum temperature near 30°C on August 18, aligning with typical mid-August conditions where daily highs average 29–32°C. This consensus from numerical weather models and observational data drives the market-implied odds, with traders assigning 55% probability to exactly 30°C and 40.5% to 29°C. Minor model variations in local heating or boundary-layer effects could shift the peak by 1°C, explaining the smaller shares for 31°C or lower outcomes, while historical climatology shows extremes above 33°C remain rare without anomalous high-pressure setups. Updated agency briefings ahead of peak heating hours represent the next key data points for position adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 18. August?
30°C 55%
29°C 41%
31°C 5%
28°C 1.8%
$17,361 Vol.
$17,361 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
41%
30°C
55%
31°C
5%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 55%
29°C 41%
31°C 5%
28°C 1.8%
$17,361 Vol.
$17,361 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
41%
30°C
55%
31°C
5%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate project a sunny day in Ankara with light northeasterly winds and a maximum temperature near 30°C on August 18, aligning with typical mid-August conditions where daily highs average 29–32°C. This consensus from numerical weather models and observational data drives the market-implied odds, with traders assigning 55% probability to exactly 30°C and 40.5% to 29°C. Minor model variations in local heating or boundary-layer effects could shift the peak by 1°C, explaining the smaller shares for 31°C or lower outcomes, while historical climatology shows extremes above 33°C remain rare without anomalous high-pressure setups. Updated agency briefings ahead of peak heating hours represent the next key data points for position adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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