Recent South African inflation prints have shown volatility driven primarily by transport costs, with the June 2026 annual rate reaching 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July amid softer fuel and municipal tariff pressures. The South African Reserve Bank’s policy rate stands at 7%, with its Quarterly Projection Model indicating headline inflation likely to average near 4.4% for the full year before moderating toward the 3% target. Food and non-alcoholic beverage inflation has continued to decline, providing an offset to energy-driven upside risks, while core measures remain anchored around 4.2%. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly in the 4.4–5.0% range because traders weigh ongoing global oil price sensitivity and administered price adjustments against the central bank’s commitment to prevent second-round effects. The August CPI release, due shortly, and the September Monetary Policy Committee meeting represent near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution if fuel costs reaccelerate or disinflation broadens faster than expected.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
4.7-5.0% 27.2%
4.4-4.7% 21.4%
>5.0% 18.1%
2.9-3.2% 6.1%
$42,503 Vol.
$42,503 Vol.
Jan 19, 2027
<2.6%
<1%
2.6-2.9%
<1%
2.9-3.2%
6%
3.2-3.5%
3%
3.5-3.8%
4%
3.8-4.1%
5%
4.1-4.4%
5%
4.4-4.7%
21%
4.7-5.0%
27%
>5.0%
18%
4.7-5.0% 27.2%
4.4-4.7% 21.4%
>5.0% 18.1%
2.9-3.2% 6.1%
$42,503 Vol.
$42,503 Vol.
Jan 19, 2027
<2.6%
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
2.6-2.9%
$1,864 Vol.
<1%
2.9-3.2%
$1,564 Vol.
6%
3.2-3.5%
$1,245 Vol.
3%
3.5-3.8%
$1,798 Vol.
4%
3.8-4.1%
$3,448 Vol.
5%
4.1-4.4%
$3,409 Vol.
5%
4.4-4.7%
$14,995 Vol.
21%
4.7-5.0%
$3,898 Vol.
27%
>5.0%
$9,062 Vol.
18%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent South African inflation prints have shown volatility driven primarily by transport costs, with the June 2026 annual rate reaching 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July amid softer fuel and municipal tariff pressures. The South African Reserve Bank’s policy rate stands at 7%, with its Quarterly Projection Model indicating headline inflation likely to average near 4.4% for the full year before moderating toward the 3% target. Food and non-alcoholic beverage inflation has continued to decline, providing an offset to energy-driven upside risks, while core measures remain anchored around 4.2%. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly in the 4.4–5.0% range because traders weigh ongoing global oil price sensitivity and administered price adjustments against the central bank’s commitment to prevent second-round effects. The August CPI release, due shortly, and the September Monetary Policy Committee meeting represent near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution if fuel costs reaccelerate or disinflation broadens faster than expected.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
ভলিউম
$42,503শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent South African inflation prints have shown volatility driven primarily by transport costs, with the June 2026 annual rate reaching 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July amid softer fuel and municipal tariff pressures. The South African Reserve Bank’s policy rate stands at 7%, with its Quarterly Projection Model indicating headline inflation likely to average near 4.4% for the full year before moderating toward the 3% target. Food and non-alcoholic beverage inflation has continued to decline, providing an offset to energy-driven upside risks, while core measures remain anchored around 4.2%. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly in the 4.4–5.0% range because traders weigh ongoing global oil price sensitivity and administered price adjustments against the central bank’s commitment to prevent second-round effects. The August CPI release, due shortly, and the September Monetary Policy Committee meeting represent near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution if fuel costs reaccelerate or disinflation broadens faster than expected.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
ভলিউম
$42,503শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Recent South African inflation prints have shown volatility driven primarily by transport costs, with the June 2026 annual rate reaching 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July amid softer fuel and municipal tariff pressures. The South African Reserve Bank’s policy rate stands at 7%, with its Quarterly Projection Model indicating headline inflation likely to average near 4.4% for the full year before moderating toward the 3% target. Food and non-alcoholic beverage inflation has continued to decline, providing an offset to energy-driven upside risks, while core measures remain anchored around 4.2%. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly in the 4.4–5.0% range because traders weigh ongoing global oil price sensitivity and administered price adjustments against the central bank’s commitment to prevent second-round effects. The August CPI release, due shortly, and the September Monetary Policy Committee meeting represent near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution if fuel costs reaccelerate or disinflation broadens faster than expected.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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