Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs, well above consensus, lifted the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.24% on September 4 and boosted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Traders are now focused on next week’s core CPI release, which could reinforce or ease concerns over persistent inflation amid elevated term premium and heavy Treasury supply driven by fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP. Recent data revisions and labor-market resilience have anchored expectations for higher-for-longer policy, while Treasury buyback expansions have provided only temporary support. The yield curve steepening and real-rate component near multi-year highs underscore the sensitivity of long-end pricing to incoming economic releases through month-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
Sep 30, 2026
5.60%
38%
5.55%
50%
5.50%
50%
5.45%
50%
5.42%
50%
5.39%
50%
5.36%
50%
5.33%
51%
5.30%
63%
$0.00 Vol.
5.60%
$0 Vol.
38%
5.55%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.50%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.45%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.42%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.39%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.36%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.33%
$0 Vol.
51%
5.30%
$0 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs, well above consensus, lifted the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.24% on September 4 and boosted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Traders are now focused on next week’s core CPI release, which could reinforce or ease concerns over persistent inflation amid elevated term premium and heavy Treasury supply driven by fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP. Recent data revisions and labor-market resilience have anchored expectations for higher-for-longer policy, while Treasury buyback expansions have provided only temporary support. The yield curve steepening and real-rate component near multi-year highs underscore the sensitivity of long-end pricing to incoming economic releases through month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs, well above consensus, lifted the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.24% on September 4 and boosted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Traders are now focused on next week’s core CPI release, which could reinforce or ease concerns over persistent inflation amid elevated term premium and heavy Treasury supply driven by fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP. Recent data revisions and labor-market resilience have anchored expectations for higher-for-longer policy, while Treasury buyback expansions have provided only temporary support. The yield curve steepening and real-rate component near multi-year highs underscore the sensitivity of long-end pricing to incoming economic releases through month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs, well above consensus, lifted the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.24% on September 4 and boosted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Traders are now focused on next week’s core CPI release, which could reinforce or ease concerns over persistent inflation amid elevated term premium and heavy Treasury supply driven by fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP. Recent data revisions and labor-market resilience have anchored expectations for higher-for-longer policy, while Treasury buyback expansions have provided only temporary support. The yield curve steepening and real-rate component near multi-year highs underscore the sensitivity of long-end pricing to incoming economic releases through month-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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