Recent June CPI data showing a 3.5% year-over-year rate—down from 4.2% in May and below forecasts—along with core inflation easing to 2.6%, has reinforced trader views that the Federal Reserve will likely maintain its 3.50–3.75% target range through year-end. The July 29 FOMC decision to hold rates steady on a 9-3 vote, citing solid economic activity, strong productivity, and a stable 4.2% unemployment rate amid Middle East-related uncertainty, further anchored expectations. With the December meeting still months away and the next inflation and employment releases due soon, markets price a 57.5% chance of no change versus 38% for a modest 25-basis-point hike, reflecting hawkish dots and the shift from earlier cut expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNo change 57%
25 bps increase 38%
25 bps decrease 4.8%
50+ bps decrease 1.7%
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 9, 2026
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
5%
No change
57%
25 bps increase
38%
50+ bps increase
2%
No change 57%
25 bps increase 38%
25 bps decrease 4.8%
50+ bps decrease 1.7%
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 9, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$550 Vol.
2%
25 bps decrease
$598 Vol.
5%
No change
$818 Vol.
57%
25 bps increase
$1,250 Vol.
38%
50+ bps increase
$572 Vol.
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent June CPI data showing a 3.5% year-over-year rate—down from 4.2% in May and below forecasts—along with core inflation easing to 2.6%, has reinforced trader views that the Federal Reserve will likely maintain its 3.50–3.75% target range through year-end. The July 29 FOMC decision to hold rates steady on a 9-3 vote, citing solid economic activity, strong productivity, and a stable 4.2% unemployment rate amid Middle East-related uncertainty, further anchored expectations. With the December meeting still months away and the next inflation and employment releases due soon, markets price a 57.5% chance of no change versus 38% for a modest 25-basis-point hike, reflecting hawkish dots and the shift from earlier cut expectations.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 29, 2026, 8:38 PM ET
ভলিউম
$3,788শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2026, 8:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent June CPI data showing a 3.5% year-over-year rate—down from 4.2% in May and below forecasts—along with core inflation easing to 2.6%, has reinforced trader views that the Federal Reserve will likely maintain its 3.50–3.75% target range through year-end. The July 29 FOMC decision to hold rates steady on a 9-3 vote, citing solid economic activity, strong productivity, and a stable 4.2% unemployment rate amid Middle East-related uncertainty, further anchored expectations. With the December meeting still months away and the next inflation and employment releases due soon, markets price a 57.5% chance of no change versus 38% for a modest 25-basis-point hike, reflecting hawkish dots and the shift from earlier cut expectations.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ভলিউম
$3,788শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2026, 8:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June CPI data showing a 3.5% year-over-year rate—down from 4.2% in May and below forecasts—along with core inflation easing to 2.6%, has reinforced trader views that the Federal Reserve will likely maintain its 3.50–3.75% target range through year-end. The July 29 FOMC decision to hold rates steady on a 9-3 vote, citing solid economic activity, strong productivity, and a stable 4.2% unemployment rate amid Middle East-related uncertainty, further anchored expectations. With the December meeting still months away and the next inflation and employment releases due soon, markets price a 57.5% chance of no change versus 38% for a modest 25-basis-point hike, reflecting hawkish dots and the shift from earlier cut expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা