Traders view the August US CPI release as highly uncertain, with the leading 0.4% month-over-month outcome priced at just 34.5% implied probability and 0.3% close behind at 30.5%. This fragmented distribution stems from mixed signals in recent labor market data, persistent services inflation, and volatility in energy and food components that complicate forecasts. Key differentiating factors include upcoming employment reports, producer price trends, and any shifts in Fed communications on the policy path, which could quickly reprice probabilities ahead of the September FOMC meeting. The broad spread of outcomes underscores how even modest data surprises may alter the market-implied rate trajectory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড0.4% 34%
0.3% 27%
0.1% 23%
≥0.5% 19%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 11, 2026
≤-0.3%
16%
-0.2%
14%
-0.1%
10%
0.0%
13%
0.1%
23%
0.2%
18%
0.3%
27%
0.4%
34%
≥0.5%
19%
0.4% 34%
0.3% 27%
0.1% 23%
≥0.5% 19%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 11, 2026
≤-0.3%
$0 Vol.
16%
-0.2%
$0 Vol.
14%
-0.1%
$95 Vol.
10%
0.0%
$30 Vol.
13%
0.1%
$0 Vol.
23%
0.2%
$0 Vol.
18%
0.3%
$0 Vol.
27%
0.4%
$0 Vol.
34%
≥0.5%
$0 Vol.
19%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders view the August US CPI release as highly uncertain, with the leading 0.4% month-over-month outcome priced at just 34.5% implied probability and 0.3% close behind at 30.5%. This fragmented distribution stems from mixed signals in recent labor market data, persistent services inflation, and volatility in energy and food components that complicate forecasts. Key differentiating factors include upcoming employment reports, producer price trends, and any shifts in Fed communications on the policy path, which could quickly reprice probabilities ahead of the September FOMC meeting. The broad spread of outcomes underscores how even modest data surprises may alter the market-implied rate trajectory.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
ভলিউম
$125শেষ তারিখ
Sep 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders view the August US CPI release as highly uncertain, with the leading 0.4% month-over-month outcome priced at just 34.5% implied probability and 0.3% close behind at 30.5%. This fragmented distribution stems from mixed signals in recent labor market data, persistent services inflation, and volatility in energy and food components that complicate forecasts. Key differentiating factors include upcoming employment reports, producer price trends, and any shifts in Fed communications on the policy path, which could quickly reprice probabilities ahead of the September FOMC meeting. The broad spread of outcomes underscores how even modest data surprises may alter the market-implied rate trajectory.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ভলিউম
$125শেষ তারিখ
Sep 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the August US CPI release as highly uncertain, with the leading 0.4% month-over-month outcome priced at just 34.5% implied probability and 0.3% close behind at 30.5%. This fragmented distribution stems from mixed signals in recent labor market data, persistent services inflation, and volatility in energy and food components that complicate forecasts. Key differentiating factors include upcoming employment reports, producer price trends, and any shifts in Fed communications on the policy path, which could quickly reprice probabilities ahead of the September FOMC meeting. The broad spread of outcomes underscores how even modest data surprises may alter the market-implied rate trajectory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা