**Trader consensus strongly favors a 14°C low for Madrid on August 30, 2026, reflecting AEMET and numerical model guidance showing clear skies and light winds promoting efficient nighttime radiative cooling.** Overnight temperatures are projected to bottom out near this level after daytime highs of 32–34°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 18°C but recent dry conditions have allowed slightly stronger cooling. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on minima between 14–17°C for the capital region, with minimal precipitation risk or cloud cover to moderate the drop. This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for typical model uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in low-level moisture, a shift to stronger winds, or revisions in the final observational data from Madrid’s official stations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
14°C 99.4%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$2,212 Vol.
$2,212 Vol.
13°C or below
1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.4%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$2,212 Vol.
$2,212 Vol.
13°C or below
1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 14°C low for Madrid on August 30, 2026, reflecting AEMET and numerical model guidance showing clear skies and light winds promoting efficient nighttime radiative cooling.** Overnight temperatures are projected to bottom out near this level after daytime highs of 32–34°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 18°C but recent dry conditions have allowed slightly stronger cooling. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on minima between 14–17°C for the capital region, with minimal precipitation risk or cloud cover to moderate the drop. This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for typical model uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in low-level moisture, a shift to stronger winds, or revisions in the final observational data from Madrid’s official stations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা