Strong northwesterly winds are the dominant driver positioning 17°C as the market leader at 61% implied probability for Wellington’s August 30 maximum, with 18°C close behind at 37%. Official MetService guidance and supporting model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate fine conditions and a daytime peak near 17°C as warm, dry northwesterlies enhance föhn warming across the region. Current observations and short-range ensembles show limited spread around this value, with only modest upside risk from stronger wind gusts or slight model warming. Historical late-August maxima average 13–15°C, so the current synoptic setup represents a mild anomaly that has held steady in recent forecast updates. Resolution hinges on the official MetService observation at Kelburn; traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily given the short time to market close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
17°C 61%
18°C 34%
16°C 7%
19°C 1.7%
$46,471 Vol.
$46,471 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
7%
17°C
61%
18°C
34%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 61%
18°C 34%
16°C 7%
19°C 1.7%
$46,471 Vol.
$46,471 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
7%
17°C
61%
18°C
34%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Strong northwesterly winds are the dominant driver positioning 17°C as the market leader at 61% implied probability for Wellington’s August 30 maximum, with 18°C close behind at 37%. Official MetService guidance and supporting model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate fine conditions and a daytime peak near 17°C as warm, dry northwesterlies enhance föhn warming across the region. Current observations and short-range ensembles show limited spread around this value, with only modest upside risk from stronger wind gusts or slight model warming. Historical late-August maxima average 13–15°C, so the current synoptic setup represents a mild anomaly that has held steady in recent forecast updates. Resolution hinges on the official MetService observation at Kelburn; traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily given the short time to market close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা