**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the highest temperature recorded at the official Tokyo station (likely Haneda or central Tokyo) on August 30, 2026, with 99.7% implied probability.** This reflects persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or drizzle, and northeasterly flow that have suppressed daytime heating. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple numerical weather models show a maximum near 26–28°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with limited solar insolation and higher humidity reducing the diurnal temperature range. Recent days featured similar conditions after earlier August heat, keeping observed highs in the mid-20s to low-30s before cooling. The market’s tight clustering around 26°C aligns with station observations and forecast consensus as of midday on the 30th. Realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid sky clearing that allows stronger insolation and pushes readings to 27–28°C, or an unexpected wind shift advecting warmer air. However, model agreement and current conditions make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
26°C 99.7%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$67,711 Vol.
$67,711 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.7%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$67,711 Vol.
$67,711 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$2,920 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,589 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$9,000 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$9,755 Vol.
100%
27°C
$8,669 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$9,057 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,536 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,891 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,225 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,650 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$7,419 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the highest temperature recorded at the official Tokyo station (likely Haneda or central Tokyo) on August 30, 2026, with 99.7% implied probability.** This reflects persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or drizzle, and northeasterly flow that have suppressed daytime heating.
Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple numerical weather models show a maximum near 26–28°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with limited solar insolation and higher humidity reducing the diurnal temperature range. Recent days featured similar conditions after earlier August heat, keeping observed highs in the mid-20s to low-30s before cooling. The market’s tight clustering around 26°C aligns with station observations and forecast consensus as of midday on the 30th.
Realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid sky clearing that allows stronger insolation and pushes readings to 27–28°C, or an unexpected wind shift advecting warmer air. However, model agreement and current conditions make such changes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$67,711শেষ তারিখ
Aug 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the highest temperature recorded at the official Tokyo station (likely Haneda or central Tokyo) on August 30, 2026, with 99.7% implied probability.** This reflects persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or drizzle, and northeasterly flow that have suppressed daytime heating.
Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple numerical weather models show a maximum near 26–28°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with limited solar insolation and higher humidity reducing the diurnal temperature range. Recent days featured similar conditions after earlier August heat, keeping observed highs in the mid-20s to low-30s before cooling. The market’s tight clustering around 26°C aligns with station observations and forecast consensus as of midday on the 30th.
Realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid sky clearing that allows stronger insolation and pushes readings to 27–28°C, or an unexpected wind shift advecting warmer air. However, model agreement and current conditions make such changes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$67,711শেষ তারিখ
Aug 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the highest temperature recorded at the official Tokyo station (likely Haneda or central Tokyo) on August 30, 2026, with 99.7% implied probability.** This reflects persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or drizzle, and northeasterly flow that have suppressed daytime heating. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple numerical weather models show a maximum near 26–28°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with limited solar insolation and higher humidity reducing the diurnal temperature range. Recent days featured similar conditions after earlier August heat, keeping observed highs in the mid-20s to low-30s before cooling. The market’s tight clustering around 26°C aligns with station observations and forecast consensus as of midday on the 30th. Realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid sky clearing that allows stronger insolation and pushes readings to 27–28°C, or an unexpected wind shift advecting warmer air. However, model agreement and current conditions make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা