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Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 1?

icon for Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 1?

Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 1?

70-71°F 49%

72-73°F 49%

78-79°F 49%

80-81°F 49%

Polymarket
নতুন

70-71°F 49%

72-73°F 49%

78-79°F 49%

80-81°F 49%

Polymarket
নতুন

67°F or below

$0 Vol.

24%

68-69°F

$0 Vol.

47%

70-71°F

$0 Vol.

49%

72-73°F

$0 Vol.

49%

74-75°F

$0 Vol.

26%

76-77°F

$0 Vol.

26%

78-79°F

$0 Vol.

49%

80-81°F

$0 Vol.

49%

82-83°F

$0 Vol.

20%

84-85°F

$0 Vol.

20%

86°F or higher

$0 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and others indicate a low in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Chicago on September 1, 2026, amid hot, humid conditions with highs near 89–94°F and southwest winds.** This aligns with trader sentiment clustering around 74–77°F ranges (27% each for the top bins), reflecting model consensus on a lingering warm air mass without significant cooling mechanisms. Key scientific factors include high dew points limiting overnight radiative cooling, persistent southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, and only modest cloud cover or isolated showers that may not drop temperatures much below 75°F. Historical September 1 normals (~64°F low) contrast sharply with the current pattern, where early-season heat keeps minima elevated; slight differences in forecast clearing times or wind speeds explain the tight spread across 70–79°F outcomes. Upcoming NWS or model updates (e.g., evening runs) could refine the exact minimum, but the setup favors a warm night with low probability of dipping into the upper 60s. Market-implied odds capture this near-term forecast uncertainty effectively.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$0
শেষ তারিখ
Sep 1, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ET

রেজোলিউশন সোর্স

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

রেজলভার

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and others indicate a low in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Chicago on September 1, 2026, amid hot, humid conditions with highs near 89–94°F and southwest winds.** This aligns with trader sentiment clustering around 74–77°F ranges (27% each for the top bins), reflecting model consensus on a lingering warm air mass without significant cooling mechanisms. Key scientific factors include high dew points limiting overnight radiative cooling, persistent southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, and only modest cloud cover or isolated showers that may not drop temperatures much below 75°F. Historical September 1 normals (~64°F low) contrast sharply with the current pattern, where early-season heat keeps minima elevated; slight differences in forecast clearing times or wind speeds explain the tight spread across 70–79°F outcomes. Upcoming NWS or model updates (e.g., evening runs) could refine the exact minimum, but the setup favors a warm night with low probability of dipping into the upper 60s. Market-implied odds capture this near-term forecast uncertainty effectively.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$0
শেষ তারিখ
Sep 1, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ET

রেজোলিউশন সোর্স

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

রেজলভার

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 1?" হলো Polymarket-এ 11 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "74-75°F" 26%-এ, তারপর "76-77°F" 26%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

"Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 1?" Polymarket-এ একটি নতুন তৈরি মার্কেট, Aug 30, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হয়েছে। একটি নতুন মার্কেট হিসেবে, এটি প্রথম ট্রেডারদের মধ্যে একজন হয়ে অডস সেট করার ও মার্কেটের প্রাথমিক মূল্য সংকেত প্রতিষ্ঠা করার সুযোগ। সময়ের সাথে মার্কেট গতি পেলে ভলিউম ও ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি ট্র্যাক করতে এই পেজ বুকমার্ক করতে পারেন।

"Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 1?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 11 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

"Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 1?"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "74-75°F" 26%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 26% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "76-77°F" 26%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 1?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।