**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to an overnight low in the mid-70s°F for Chicago on August 31, 2026, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds centered on 72–77°F.** Persistent southerly winds and a warm, humid air mass are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated well above the long-term average low of ~64°F for the date. Model consensus shows partly cloudy skies and dew points near 70°F, which reduces the temperature drop after sunset and supports lows around 74–75°F as the most probable outcome. Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or the exact timing of any brief clearing could shift the minimum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight clustering across the 70–77°F bins and the lower probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Chicago on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 31?
74-75°F 31%
72-73°F 30%
76-77°F 30%
70-71°F 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 31, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 31%
72-73°F 30%
76-77°F 30%
70-71°F 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 31, 2026
65°F or below
$141 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
25%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
30%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
31%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
30%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$115 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$145 Vol.
2%
84°F or higher
$228 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to an overnight low in the mid-70s°F for Chicago on August 31, 2026, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds centered on 72–77°F.** Persistent southerly winds and a warm, humid air mass are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated well above the long-term average low of ~64°F for the date.
Model consensus shows partly cloudy skies and dew points near 70°F, which reduces the temperature drop after sunset and supports lows around 74–75°F as the most probable outcome. Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or the exact timing of any brief clearing could shift the minimum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight clustering across the 70–77°F bins and the lower probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$629শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to an overnight low in the mid-70s°F for Chicago on August 31, 2026, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds centered on 72–77°F.** Persistent southerly winds and a warm, humid air mass are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated well above the long-term average low of ~64°F for the date.
Model consensus shows partly cloudy skies and dew points near 70°F, which reduces the temperature drop after sunset and supports lows around 74–75°F as the most probable outcome. Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or the exact timing of any brief clearing could shift the minimum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight clustering across the 70–77°F bins and the lower probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$629শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to an overnight low in the mid-70s°F for Chicago on August 31, 2026, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds centered on 72–77°F.** Persistent southerly winds and a warm, humid air mass are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated well above the long-term average low of ~64°F for the date. Model consensus shows partly cloudy skies and dew points near 70°F, which reduces the temperature drop after sunset and supports lows around 74–75°F as the most probable outcome. Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or the exact timing of any brief clearing could shift the minimum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight clustering across the 70–77°F bins and the lower probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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