Traders have priced the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 30 at 31°C with near-certainty due to consensus across numerical weather prediction models and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration. Ensemble forecasts from global systems such as the ECMWF and GFS, combined with local station trends, show daytime maxima stabilizing at this level amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, including moderate humidity and limited afternoon convection. Historical August baselines for Shanghai support this range, with minimal deviation expected absent major synoptic shifts. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in warm advection or measurement discrepancies at official sites, though model agreement and proximity to resolution make such outcomes highly improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$77,685 Vol.
$77,685 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$77,685 Vol.
$77,685 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Traders have priced the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 30 at 31°C with near-certainty due to consensus across numerical weather prediction models and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration. Ensemble forecasts from global systems such as the ECMWF and GFS, combined with local station trends, show daytime maxima stabilizing at this level amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, including moderate humidity and limited afternoon convection. Historical August baselines for Shanghai support this range, with minimal deviation expected absent major synoptic shifts. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in warm advection or measurement discrepancies at official sites, though model agreement and proximity to resolution make such outcomes highly improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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