Recent model consensus from MetService and international guidance highlights a late-day southerly change on August 31, shifting winds from northwest to south or southwest and advecting cooler maritime air into Wellington. This setup favors overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, driving the minimum toward 5°C or below at the official airport station. Historical August lows average near 9°C, yet current 850 hPa temperatures and wind trajectories support a sharper drop than recent days. Trader positioning reflects this forecast evolution, with the 5°C-or-below band commanding the highest implied probability amid lingering uncertainty in exact timing and cloud cover that could moderate the low. Updated model runs tonight will refine the resolution threshold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
15°C or higher 53%
10°C 30%
8°C 27%
9°C 27%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 31, 2026
5°C or below
42%
6°C
16%
7°C
25%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
30%
11°C
26%
12°C
3%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
53%
15°C or higher 53%
10°C 30%
8°C 27%
9°C 27%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 31, 2026
5°C or below
$20 Vol.
42%
6°C
$518 Vol.
16%
7°C
$30 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
27%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
30%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
3%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C or higher
$15 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from MetService and international guidance highlights a late-day southerly change on August 31, shifting winds from northwest to south or southwest and advecting cooler maritime air into Wellington. This setup favors overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, driving the minimum toward 5°C or below at the official airport station. Historical August lows average near 9°C, yet current 850 hPa temperatures and wind trajectories support a sharper drop than recent days. Trader positioning reflects this forecast evolution, with the 5°C-or-below band commanding the highest implied probability amid lingering uncertainty in exact timing and cloud cover that could moderate the low. Updated model runs tonight will refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$583শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from MetService and international guidance highlights a late-day southerly change on August 31, shifting winds from northwest to south or southwest and advecting cooler maritime air into Wellington. This setup favors overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, driving the minimum toward 5°C or below at the official airport station. Historical August lows average near 9°C, yet current 850 hPa temperatures and wind trajectories support a sharper drop than recent days. Trader positioning reflects this forecast evolution, with the 5°C-or-below band commanding the highest implied probability amid lingering uncertainty in exact timing and cloud cover that could moderate the low. Updated model runs tonight will refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$583শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from MetService and international guidance highlights a late-day southerly change on August 31, shifting winds from northwest to south or southwest and advecting cooler maritime air into Wellington. This setup favors overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, driving the minimum toward 5°C or below at the official airport station. Historical August lows average near 9°C, yet current 850 hPa temperatures and wind trajectories support a sharper drop than recent days. Trader positioning reflects this forecast evolution, with the 5°C-or-below band commanding the highest implied probability amid lingering uncertainty in exact timing and cloud cover that could moderate the low. Updated model runs tonight will refine the resolution threshold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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